Visa调整后稳定币美元交易量因数据重置下降,转账笔数保持平稳
在链上分析追踪器进行数据重置后,Visa公布的调整后稳定币美元交易量出现下滑,而该网络的稳定币转账笔数则相对平稳,在同一时期内降幅不足2%。
数据重置重塑基准,导致美元交易量下降
据CryptoSlate报道,Visa作为其稳定币活动监测一部分发布的调整后美元交易量数据,在底层测量方法被重置校准后进行了向下修订。调整后的交易量剔除了某些类型的交易,例如智能合约交互和协议内部转账,从而专注于具有经济意义的活动。
此类重置可能会显著降低报告的数据,但这并不一定反映现实世界中稳定币使用量的下降。由于重置改变了统计范围而非仅仅改变数量,因此直接对比重置前后的 headline 美元数字应持谨慎态度,因为重置后的数据在结构上与重置前的基准不再具有可比性。
转账笔数几乎未动,反映出使用场景的变化更为局限
While US dollar transaction volume suffered a major impact, the original number of stablecoin transfers on Visa's tracking network dropped by less than 2% during a comparable window. This difference is important: the number of transfers is less sensitive to the average size of each transaction, so a small decline in the number of transfers is accompanied by a significant decline in transaction volume, indicating that the main change is mainly driven by the average transfer size. Reduction, rather than a decrease in transaction frequency.
Stability can coexist with a reduction in the average value of a single transfer. If the reset excludes some high-value institutional or protocol-level transfers while retaining retail-scale transactions, the number of transfers indicator may remain almost unchanged even if total dollar transaction volume drops significantly. The systems built around stablecoin infrastructure by Visa, BlackRock and Coinbase rely on these two metrics to measure adoption, and this divergence highlights why a single metric cannot fully reflect the overall picture.
Key points to focus on subsequent reporting periods
The meaningful confirmation period is the first complete and comparable reporting period after the reset, during which US dollar transaction volumes and transfers will be measured based on the same new reset criteria from the beginning. This will be the first time that there is a clear assessment of whether the underlying stablecoin activity through the Visa tracking network is growing, flat or contracting.
关注Visa和Mastercard向区块链支付领域推进的分析师还应将平均转账规模作为一个衍生指标进行观察:通过将每个周期的调整后美元交易量除以转账笔数,来评估由重置驱动的估值压缩是否正在收窄或持续。监控监管变化的读者应注意,香港新的稳定币许可制度反映了对支付网络如何衡量和报告稳定币流动性的日益严格的审查。

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