Choose any investor who witnessed Trump's return to the White House on January 20, 2025, and decided to invest money in the three most hotly debated asset classes at the time
These were: Bitcoin, which Trump publicly embraced, gold, which has supported investment portfolios for centuries, and Trump memin, which was launched just three days ago and named after the president, which was then dubbed "Inauguration Day Trading."
The following are the results of today-August 3, 2026-invested US$1000 per asset class.
Bitcoin: Down 40%
Bitcoin opened at around $102000 on inauguration day. A $1000 investment can buy approximately 0.0098 BTC. Today, Bitcoin is trading at close to $62000, and this position is worth about $607, with a loss of 40%.
The irony is hard to ignore. When Trump took office, he was the most openly pro-cryptocurrency president in U.S. history. He signed the GENIUS Act and established a strategic Bitcoin reserve. He called the United States the cryptocurrency capital of the world. However, Bitcoin still fell by 40% during his tenure.
What makes Bitcoin's losses particularly eye-catching is its background. This is not a government that is hostile to cryptocurrencies. The Trump team established the first strategic bitcoin reserve in March 2025, halted all government bitcoin selling, and signaled long-term institutional commitment at the sovereign level. The policy environment is the most favorable in Bitcoin's history. However, prices began to fall from the day this all took effect. The lesson is not that there is something wrong with Bitcoin itself, but that even the most favorable policy tailwind cannot overcome the impact of the global liquidity tightening, the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, and large-scale deleveraging operations.
Gold: Up 22%
On January 20, 2025, the price of gold was approximately US$2697 per ounce. A $1000 investment can buy 0.371 ounces. Based on today's gold price of approximately US$3300 per ounce, this position is worth US$1224, an increase of 22%. The presidency that was supposed to promote cryptocurrency turned out to be gold's best friend.
The tariff war, the U.S. -Iran military strike, continued inflation, and the Fed's hawkish stance are all pushing money into gold every time uncertainty soars. Earlier this year, gold hit a record high, exceeding $3500. On Inauguration Day, no one would put money into gold to bet on Trump's term-but they should.
What makes gold's performance particularly embarrassing for the cryptocurrency community is that it does not require any catalysts, only the macro environment created by Trump's own policies. There is no halving cycle for gold, no ETF inflows to track, and no whale wallets to monitor. It only rises when trust in financial institutions is eroded and inflation lasts longer than central banks expect.
Trumpcoin: Down 97%
On January 20, 2025, the trading price of Trumpcoin was approximately US$45.47, which has dropped significantly from the all-time high of US$74.27 set two days ago. Based on inauguration day prices, an investment of $1000 can buy approximately 22 coins. At today's price of $1.47, the coins are worth about $32, with a loss of 97%. Almost all the investment was wiped out. Although Trump himself disclosed more than $1.4 billion in cryptocurrency revenue in his 2025 financial filing (mainly from royalties from Trump Coin), investors who bought on Inauguration Day are bearing one of the worst performing positions throughout the cycle.
Investors who buy for $45 on Inauguration Day are not making financial decisions, but making political decisions. As always, the market has treated the two completely differently.
Report card
Three types of assets, same US$1000, same starting date. Gold: $1224. Bitcoin: US$607. Trumpcoin: $32. The most pro-cryptocurrency government in history has produced only one winner-an asset that has existed for thousands of years without even a ticker symbol.

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