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Arthur Hayes 概述了他对比特币的当前预期

2026-11-04 15:37:49
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BitMEX联合创始人Arthur Hayes再次聚焦美元流动性

BitMEX联合创始人Arthur Hayes在最新的比特币评估中，再次将目光投向美元流动性。他指出，若要维持市场的持续强势，美联储或银行体系需要开始扩张其资产负债表。

Hayes通过X平台分享了一张展示美元流动性的图表，并表示他预计，在该过程启动之前，比特币价格仍将保持疲软态势。

核心框架与关键渠道

Hayes的分析框架主要围绕金融系统中的货币总量以及流向高风险资产的可用流动性展开。在这一逻辑下，美联储的资产购买行为与银行的信贷扩张被视为影响比特币走势的两个重要渠道。

最新数据佐证

美联储发布的最新资产负债表数据为这场关于流动性的辩论提供了具体依据。截至10月28日的数据显示，美联储总资产约为6.746万亿美元，较前一周减少了约80亿美元。

同期，银行存放在美联储的准备金周平均值下降了约688亿美元，降至2.894万亿美元。

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