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FollowingMysterious whale: New wallet 10 hours before the game and bet US$1.95 million on Spain to win the championship.
Either someone has inside information or his beliefs are extremely firm. Ten hours before Spain won the 2026 World Cup final, a mysterious crypto whale created a brand new wallet and bet $1.95 million on prediction market platform Polymarket that Spain would win the championship. The odds at the time were 59.1%. When Spain finally won, the whale left the game with a profit of $1.35 million for a total return of about $3.3 million, and the process took just a few hours.
New wallet, single bet on
What attracts attention is not only the amount, but also the timing. The wallet was created specifically for this bet-no past activity, no history, no trace. One wallet, one bet, one result. This model fits the operating style of a veteran player who wants to completely isolate positions from existing positions and cannot be traced back.
Blockchain intelligence company Lookonchain marked the transaction on the X platform, pointing out when the wallet was created and the position size relative to the odds at the time. With the implied probability of 59.1%, Spain is not unpopular, but making a single bet of nearly $2 million at such odds still shows a certainty that immediately attracts attention.
Spain wins World Cup
Spain defeated its opponents in the 2026 World Cup final and won the championship, continuing one of its most dominant stages in international football. The victory added a new chapter to Spain's legend as one of the most successful national teams and allowed the Spanish contract to be settled in full on Polymarket.
Cryptocurrency and the World Cup
During the entire 2026 event period, it is predicted that the market transaction volume will be huge, and Polymarket has become one of the main platforms for crypto native bettors to trade results in real time. The whale's bet was one of the largest single positions publicly marked during the event, a reminder that on-chain sports forecasting has quietly developed into a serious market that goes far beyond sporadic participation.
Whether the winner is lucky and well-informed, or has just done extremely thorough research remains unknown. The wallet has not been operated since then.
