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If the US$1 trillion market value theory holds true, XRP may surpass Ethereum

2026-07-18 15:25:50
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Analysts: If XRP holds key support levels, its market value may approach US$1 trillion.

Analyst EGRAG CRYSTPTO pointed out that only when the long-term chart model withstands the test of key support can XRP's market value approach US$1 trillion.

Core Points:

EGRAG said that XRP has entered the "Kaboom 4" stage, which is the fourth expansion period that has occurred repeatedly in its 14-year market value trend. This forecast is based on the premise that support needs to remain between US$37.2 billion and US$64.1 billion before it is possible to hit the US$955 billion target. To achieve the top goal, XRP's market value needs to increase by more than 1250% from less than US$70 billion.

XRP's Market Pattern

The monthly market value chart of XRP plotted by EGRAG shows that a pattern consisting of a rising structure and a simple 33-month moving average is recurring. He called this expected expansion phase "Kaboom 4." He said each previous cycle had been launched after the market retested these areas, clearing the way for sharp gains. The first expansion increased the market value by approximately 95 times, and the subsequent two increased the market value of XRP by approximately 15 times each. But historical performance does not guarantee that it will repeat itself in the future.

EGRAG said that whether the bullish structure can hold depends on whether the market value can stabilize above key support levels of $64.1 billion,$48.8 billion and $37.2 billion, before higher targets make sense. The Fibonacci expansion levels he set were $130 billion,$310 billion,$493 billion and $955 billion respectively. In theory, a symmetrical triangle could point to targets of more than $2 trillion. However, the analyst believes that as long as XRP maintains its current model and the market environment improves, a valuation of around $1 trillion is a more conservative goal.

XRP's trillion-dollar test

This forecast is still highly speculative, as the XRP market value needs to rise more than 1250% from less than US$70 billion to approach US$955 billion. At the same time, monthly token unlocks may increase supply, while the corresponding demand needed to support each price level faces challenges. If this valuation is reached, XRP will trade well above $10, surpass Ethereum under the comparison criteria used in the analysis, and be closer to Bitcoin.

Ripple's growth-strengthening its institutional business through acquisitions, regional expansion and partnerships-may support this forecast. However, these developments have not yet triggered a sustained rise in XRP, and inflows to exchange-traded funds are still below levels after their launch in late 2025. This prediction requires support beyond technical aspects. Achieving the move to $955 billion will require stronger risk appetite, stronger institutional demand, and a fundamental shift in the way investors value XRP's role in the payments space. Currently, the coin price is still down about 70% from its all-time high, indicating a huge gap between current market conditions and EGRAG's forecasts.

Disclaimer:

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