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Large-scale cryptocurrency option expiration may trigger market shocks

2026-07-17 00:31:01
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Market participants are bracing for possible volatility triggered by the expiration of $1.45 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options on Deribit this week. This expiration event is of great concern because historically, option maturities of this size tend to cause volatility in digital asset markets.

Why are these expiration events so important?

because they can cause significant market corrections. At 08:00 UTC this Friday, up to $1.23 billion in bitcoin options and $218 million in Ethereum options will expire. These expiration events may stimulate a new round of trading activity, prompting traders to close positions, hedge risks or carry out rollover operations, which may trigger market price fluctuations.

One of the key indicators of options trading is the balance between call and put options. The current put/call ratio for Bitcoin is 0.86, indicating that there are more call options than put options, reflecting generally optimistic market sentiment as the expiration date approaches.

What is the situation with Ethereum?

Ethereum presents a different trend. Its put/call ratio of 1.54 suggests a preference for holding protective put options, reflecting a cautious or bearish attitude of Ethereum holders before expiration.

The "biggest pain point" is the exercise price at which most options will expire without value, which is currently $62,500 for Bitcoin and $1,750 for Ethereum. These levels can be key points to guide price movements, although markets are not always in line with them.

The following specific observations from the article reveal the market's expectations for this event:

The surge in short-term options holdings in Deribit suggests increased volatility. Traders use strategies such as gamma hedging to profit from rapid price movements. Weekly options received a lot of attention before they expired this week. Deribit pointed out that traders 'interest in short-term strategies has increased significantly, and they expect large price fluctuations in this volatile environment.

With a large number of options expiring and increased short-term trading activity, market observers are closely watching the potential for sharp price movements in Bitcoin and Ethereum. Traders are preparing to respond to potential changes and pay close attention to these key factors affecting digital asset markets this week.

Disclaimer:

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