Ethereum RSI issues warning, ETH/BTC test breaks key levels

The Ethereum RSI indicator issued a warning, ETH/BTC test breakthrough level

Ethereum's Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen above 65, hitting a level that has signaled a local top in previous rallies. This trend puts the current rally at a critical juncture, and traders are watching closely to see whether the pattern will repeat itself, triggering a price correction in the current downtrend.

RSI breaks the overbought threshold, consistent with past top signals.

RSI is a key technical indicator for traders to measure market momentum. When values above 65 or 70, it usually means an overbought condition. In the case of Ethereum, this threshold has appeared repeatedly over the past year before assets peaked. Analysts pointed out that in the past few times when the RSI broke through 65, Ethereum prices often peaked within two to three days. These warning signals usually appear near lower highs, signaling a weaker rebound against the backdrop of a larger downtrend that has formed after peaking in August 2025. If this pattern repeats itself, Ethereum may again encounter rapid pressure, indicating that buyers are still unable to maintain upward momentum at high levels. Many past rallies have ended shortly after the daily RSI rose above 65, highlighting the importance of this signal in the current environment.

Despite history, analysts believe the current situation could be different if Ethereum prices chose to move sideways rather than fall. The RSI is expected to decline moderately by then without causing significant damage to the recovery, indicating that buyers are absorbing the upward selling pressure from profit-taking orders.

ETH/BTC pair approaches key resistance level

Ethereum also showed new strength against Bitcoin, with the ETH/BTC pairing approaching the upper trajectory of the 11-month downtrend channel. Since September, this level has served as stubborn resistance, suppressing repeated rebound attempts. Recently, ETH/BTC rebounded from the lower track of the channel and regained the horizontal support level of 0.026 BTC. The currency pair is currently trading near the downtrend line. If market expectations achieve a clear breakthrough, it may signal a change in the market landscape.

Technical observers warn that a temporary breakthrough of resistance is not enough to confirm a breakthrough. Instead, ETH/BTC needs to close above the channel and stabilize at that level in a higher time frame, accompanied by stronger volume support. If a breakthrough cannot be established, the ratio may fall back to the 0.026 BTC support level. Continuing to stay on the trend line will indicate that Ethereum is beginning to outperform Bitcoin after months of weakness. Such a reversal could also boost the entire altcoin market, as traders tend to allocate more money to other alternative cryptocurrencies during periods of strength for Ethereum.

Mini Dictionary

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator used to assess whether an asset is overbought or oversold. It usually takes a value of 0 to 100. Above 70 is usually considered oversold, and below 30 is considered oversold.

Indicator comparison: Ethereum daily RSI-Previous pattern: Local top is seen within 2-3 days after breaking through 65; Current level: higher than 65; Potential impact: May peak or break through again. ETH/BTC channel-Previous pattern: high points have been decreasing since September; current level: close to the upper track; potential impact: may reverse if a breakthrough is confirmed. Support level of 0.026 BTC-recovered; key role: maintaining bullish momentum.

If Ethereum breaks through Bitcoin and stands above the trend line in the context of heavy volume, it may indicate a change in overall sentiment in the altcoin field. If the resistance level remains and suppresses Ethereum again, the downward structure will remain unchanged and the ETH/BTC pair is likely to fall back into the 0.026 BTC region. If this level is lost, it may increase the risk of further decline to the bottom of the channel.