Claude AI Predicts Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Trends After Fed Holds Interest Rates Invariable

It is not surprising that the Fed has left interest rates unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%. What people really care about is what Kevin Walsh said. He called the U.S. economy "surprisingly resilient," reminded everyone that inflation was still above 2%, and made clear that the Fed would not give any hints about the future direction. He also noted that both nominal and real government bond yields have risen sharply since the last meeting.

Cryptocurrencies are divided. Bitcoin rose slightly by 1% to $64,483, with buyers remaining active. Ethereum fell just over 1%, trading at $1,891.

We combined the latest market data, macro picture and on-chain activity, and then asked ClaudeAI to chart the likely direction of these two assets.

Bitcoin Chart Analysis and Latest News

We looked at the chart and despite the fluctuations caused by the Federal Reserve, Bitcoin's shape remains solid. It rebounded after falling last week and is currently trading around $64,400 and above short-term support around $63,500.

The momentum indicator remains balanced, with the RSI close to 52 and the ultimate oscillator around 57, indicating that buying pressure has cooled but has not turned bearish.

Institutional needs continue to provide support. The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted a net inflow of more than $222 million in July, continuing a cumulative trend of several weeks, before showing a small outflow in recent trading days. Assets under management are still close to $79.44 billion, indicating that institutions have largely maintained exposure despite price fluctuations.

Not all progress has been positive. Core Sciences reported that its Bitcoin mining business reported a gross loss of US$12.2 million in the second quarter, while its artificial intelligence hosting unit achieved a gross profit of US$80 million. The result highlights the pressure miners face after halving. Even so, Vanguard Group has increased its exposure to Bitcoin treasury firm Endeavour Asset Management through its VTSAX fund, raising its shareholding to approximately $23.7 million, again demonstrating that traditional finance is still expanding its indirect exposure to Bitcoin.

Ethereum Chart Analysis and Latest News

We also reviewed the chart. After repeatedly rejecting the $1,960 resistance level, Ethereum prices continue to consolidate widely between $1,850 and $1,950. The RSI is close to 52 and the ultimate oscillator is around 55, indicating that momentum is balanced after today's rebound from intraday lows.

Ethereum's institutional picture continues to improve. Morgan Stanley has just launched the Morgan Stanley Ethereum Trust (MSSE) with a management fee of 0.14%, the lowest among the U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs. The fund can pledge 50% to 80% of its positions, so investors can also receive pledge rewards while receiving regular ETH exposure.

The Ethereum Foundation has also hired security expert pcaversaccio to its board of directors. His responsibilities are: Focus on ecosystem security and strategic oversight as the network continues to evolve.

Capital rotation is also beneficial to Ethereum. Between June 22 and 26, BlackRock customers withdrew approximately US$60 million from IBIT and allocated more than US$20 million into Ethereum investment products, indicating that institutions 'interest in other than Bitcoin is growing.

Claude AI Bitcoin Price Forecast

Claude AI predicts that if the Federal Reserve maintains its "higher and longer" stance, Bitcoin prices will remain in the US$62,000 to US$67,000 range.

If the macro environment becomes more friendly, ETF funds continue to flow in, and market sentiment improves, Bitcoin may climb to the US$68,000 to US$75,000 range in the coming weeks.

On the other hand, if government bond yields continue to rise, ETF funds continue to flow out, and global tensions intensify, Bitcoin may fall back to US$55,000 to US$60,000.

Claude AI Ethereum Price Forecast

Claude AI predicts that in its benchmark scenario, Ethereum prices will trade between US$1,850 and US$2,050.

Stronger institutional buying, the growing popularity of Morgan Stanley ETFs and continued rotation of funds from Bitcoin may push ETH into the US$2,200 to US$2,600 range.

If financial conditions tighten further and risky assets weaken, Claude AI believes Ethereum will fall to the US$1,650 to US$1,800 range.

However, Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to be traded under the combined effect of macroeconomic policies and institutional needs. Claude AI expects that unless liquidity conditions improve, these two assets will remain range-bound, and if funds continue to rotate to smart contract platforms, Ethereum's upside potential will be stronger.

FAQs

Why did the Fed keep interest rates unchanged

The Fed kept interest rates at 3.50% to 3.75% because it believed inflation was still above the 2% target despite continued economic growth. Policymakers also said further interest rates were still possible if inflation did not continue to ease.

What does Claude AI predict for Bitcoin and Ethereum prices?

Claude AI predicts that in an optimistic scenario, Bitcoin prices could reach US$68,000 to US$75,000, with a benchmark scenario of US$62,000 to US$67,000. For Ethereum prices, Claude AI predicts an optimistic range of $2,200 to $2,600, with a benchmark outlook of $1,850 to $2,050.

Why Ethereum may outperform Bitcoin in the coming months

If institutional demand continues to grow through spot Ethereum ETFs, pledge products attract more funds, and investors continue to rotate funds from Bitcoin to Ethereum, Ethereum may outperform Bitcoin. Lower-cost ETF products and improving network fundamentals may also support stronger ETH price performance.