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XRP XRP prices need to stabilize above US$1.55 to confirm the reversal: ETF inflows support demand, and Binance giant whale deposits increase risk.
XRP prices rose 6.8% to US$1.42, rebounding from lows close to US$1.32. This rebound brought XRP close to confirming the inverted structure of the "head, shoulders and bottom" pattern. Analysts pointed out that $1.55 is the key neckline, while $1.32 to $1.39 is the support area. Increased spot trading volume and forced liquidation of short positions drove prices higher.
XRP prices need to be above the US$1.55 neckline at the daily close
Analyst Ali Martinez maps his left shoulder to June and his head to a low of approximately US$1.00 in August. The right shoulder is formed in the range of $1.32 to $1.36. If the daily closing price exceeds US$1.55, the pattern will be completed. Its theoretical measurement target increase is 35%, including US$2.00 to US$2.10 in the target area.
On the daily chart,$XRP seems to be forming a right shoulder with a head, shoulder and bottom shape. If this pattern continues to develop, my focus is moving towards the neckline near $1.55. This is the key level. Once a breakthrough of US$1.55 is confirmed...
XRP prices must hold on to US$1.32 to US$1.33 before testing the resistance levels of US$1.45 and US$1.50. Some analysts pointed out a buying wall near $1.39 and two selling walls. These prices may determine whether spot demand is sufficient to support a larger upward pattern. The 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) is within 2% of the 200-day EMA. Although the Golden Cross signal has not yet been confirmed, it will be an important technical symbol once it is formed.
XRP价格上涨面临杠杆与巨鲸存款风险
CoinGlass数据显示，XRP现货交易量约为13.6亿美元，空头清算金额为805万美元，多头清算金额约为236万美元。CoinMarketCap追踪显示，单日成交额近49亿美元，增幅达90%。然而，期货交易量达到约57.1亿美元，是现货活动量的四倍多。
如果杠杆头寸在阻力位附近 unwind（解除），XRP价格可能会迅速反转。这种不平衡使得通过持续的现货交易来确认趋势变得尤为重要。美国现货XRP ETF已吸引超过17亿美元的资金，形成了需求底线。然而，过去30天内有近15亿至16亿枚XRP转入币安，创下大型持有者流入量的六个月新高。
CryptoQuant表示，这些转账可能用于支持抵押品、衍生品或投资组合重新配置，并不能证明立即进行公开市场销售。尽管如此，如果动能在颈线下方停滞，这些存款仍可能形成抛压。2023年Torres裁决为XRP提供了更清晰的法律基础，尽管更广泛的美国政策仍未确定。Ripple与Stripe及Tempo的合作可能扩大自动化支付的实用性。莫斯科交易所计划于9月22日推出XRP永续合约，进一步增加杠杆因素。
免责声明：本文仅供参考，不构成财务建议。读者在进行财务决策前应自行研究。
