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Following
BTC Core Highlights
- Strong ETF demand and energy market changes provide support for Bitcoin
- Strategy increased its holdings of 950 bitcoins and expanded its reserves
Since late January, Bitcoin (BTC) exceeded the US$85,000 mark for the first time, hitting a high of approximately US$85,248. After closing at $81,120 last week, the cryptocurrency successfully regained its 50-week exponential moving average (EMA) at around $77,769.
The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net capital inflow of US$435 million on Friday, the highest net inflow in a single day since early September. Although the market still has expectations for further tightening of the Federal Reserve's policy, falling crude oil prices and weak U.S. bond yields have created favorable conditions for risky assets.
Strategy acquired an additional 950 bitcoins worth US$75.7 million during this period, bringing its total bitcoins to 846,000.
Bitcoin breaks through key resistance
On Monday, Bitcoin (BTC) broke through the US$85,000 mark strongly, setting its strongest price trend in about eight months. The cryptocurrency leader started at a closing price of $81,120 after ending trading last week, hitting an intraday high of $85,248. Subsequently, the trading price of BTC stabilized at around US$85,139, with an intraday increase of approximately 5.7%.
The rise is the result of prices recovering from below $76,000 after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates last week. Buying momentum strengthened throughout the weekend, pushing BTC beyond its previous peak of about $82,950 set in May.
随着价格攀升，空头头寸的强制清算加速。在24小时内，加密货币市场的总清算金额超过6亿美元。
机构需求与宏观环境共同助推
比特币已成功收复位于77,769美元附近的50周指数移动平均线。随着看涨情绪升温，日线相对强弱指数（RSI）也接近70的阈值。
交易所交易基金带来的机构需求与价格上涨同步增强。美国现货比特币ETF在周五录得4.35亿美元的净资本流入，标志着自9月初以来最强劲的单日表现。其中，富达（Fidelity）的Wise Origin比特币基金吸收了3.1亿美元的投资活动，暂时超越贝莱德（BlackRock）的IBIT，成为该时段机构资金的主要渠道。
目前，比特币的交易价格接近美国现货ETF持有者的综合成本基础，计算约为85,638美元。这意味着当前估值接近更广泛ETF投资者群体的盈亏平衡点。
能源市场动态也为这一有利局面做出了贡献。WTI原油价格在上周突破100美元后回落至每桶94美元以下，布伦特原油同样下跌，因为全球市场密切关注美国和伊朗之间恢复的外交谈判。路透社指出，油价回落支持了周一国际股票和固定收益证券的上涨，尽管市场参与者仍在为另一轮美国利率调整的可能性定价。
Strategy持续扩张比特币储备
Strategy公司在9月14日至9月20日期间完成了950枚比特币的收购，总价值为7,570万美元，平均每枚购买价格为79,670美元。该公司的累计持仓量已达到846,000枚BTC。
市场分析师Ted Pillows通过社交媒体指出，比特币在收复50周移动平均线的同时，形成了首个更高的高点。他将此市场底部确认为既定事实，表达了对近期技术发展的乐观看法。
监管环境也显示出改善迹象。美国证券交易委员会（SEC）宣布有条件地豁免五年，允许特定平台在区块链基础设施上促进代币化美国股票的交易。委员会特别指出，这一临时措施适用于合格的代币化证券场所和指定的流动性提供商。
目前，比特币维持在85,000美元水平之上，ETF持有者的平均成本基础约为85,638美元，而1月份的峰值区域构成了下一个重要的阻力区间。
