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Gray scale: Why supply growth for Ethereum and Solana may decline sharply by 2031

2026-08-16 00:38:40
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Ethereum and Solana consider reducing inflation rate

ETH and SOL pledge rewards may adjust

If Ethereum and Solana's proposal is passed, it may reduce the annual inflation rate and slow down the growth rate of new token supply. Grayscale predicts that if the changes are implemented, the ETH inflation rate will be close to 0.4% and the SOL inflation rate will be about 1.1% by 2031. As the number of new tokens entering circulation decreases, lower inflation rates may lead to a corresponding reduction in pledge rewards. Gray scale research shows that Solana's proposal has gained broader consensus in the community.

Ethereum and Solana are moving towards reducing token inflation, with both networks considering adjusting for future supply growth. If the community approves these changes, ETH and SOL will become even more scarce in the coming years. By 2031, annual inflation is expected to be lower than current gold supply growth and U.S. consumer inflation. These adjustments will also change the way pledge rewards are allocated in the two networks.


Ethereum and Solana weigh to reduce inflation

Ethereum and Solana support major blockchain activities including stablecoins and tokenized assets. Its native tokens are traded as digital goods, and the supply-demand relationship directly affects its market value. Gray pointed out that the proposed code changes could reduce annual token inflation rates for both networks. Over time, lower new supply means that fewer new tokens will enter circulation.

Gray estimates that if the proposed changes take effect, the annual supply inflation rates for Ethereum and Bitcoin will be approximately 0.4% through 2031, and approximately 1.1% for Solana. These estimates assume that the network implements the proposed token economy adjustments without taking into account other supply changes. Bitcoin is used as a reference benchmark, and its expected inflation rate is also maintained at around 0.4%.

The above data is lower than gold's annual supply growth rate of approximately 1.8% and the U.S. CPI inflation rate of 3.3%. This comparison highlights how the proposal changes the supply structure of ETH and SOL. Lower issuance rates will not automatically determine token prices because demand remains an independent market variable. However, these proposals directly target the number of new ETH and SOL entering circulation.


ETH and SOL pledge rewards may be adjusted

These proposals are still under discussion within their respective blockchain communities. Gray said that Solana's proposal seems to have gained a broader consensus and is more likely to be implemented. Pledge rewards rely in part on new token issuance, so lower inflation will reduce the number of tokens allocated to pledgers. This change could change the reward structure for users involved in maintaining network security.

If scarcity drives the market stronger, unpledged ETH and SOL holders may benefit from reduced token issuance. Pledges face a different logic of calculation because lower rewards could offset any potential price increases. Gray scale research also pointed out the technical nature of the proposal, especially Ethereum's pledge model. The final result depends on whether communities approve the changes and how the new parameters affect the supply of tokens. Governance decisions will determine whether these proposed cuts become part of the operating rules of the respective networks.

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