Analysis of Bitcoin's Key Resistance Zone
Bitcoin showed a correction after testing exceeded US$87,000 and is still trading in the range of US$82,000 to US$85,000. Although it remains to be seen whether the uptrend can continue, Glassnode pointed out that $84,000 to $85,000 is a potential target area.
According to Glassnode's analysis, Bitcoin faces resistance in the range of US$84,000 to US$85,000, which is also the area where long-term investors have the most concentrated positions. Glassnode said on its social media account that the key to further strengthening the upward trend lies in whether Bitcoin can break through and stand firm above the $84,000 to $85,000 region.
Glassnode also pointed out that if Bitcoin successfully breaks through the above-mentioned resistance zone of US$84,000 to US$85,000, the next key level to pay attention to is the MVRV (market capital-to-realized value ratio) price, which is approximately US$96,700. Conversely, if BTC falls below US$84,000, US$77,000 will become an important support level again.
Does U.S. bond yields predict a decline in Bitcoin?
In addition to Glassnode's analysis, 10x Research founder Markus Thielen also analyzed U.S. Treasury yields, which he believes was one of the reasons for Bitcoin's decline. In an interview with CoinDesk, Markus Thielen said that rising U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to 6% does not necessarily mean damage to Bitcoin.
在此背景下,Thielen根据收益率上升的不同原因进行了区分。他指出,如果美国10年期国债收益率升至6%是由于对财政赤字和政府债务的担忧所致,这对比特币未必是利空因素。分析师认为,这种情况可能会促使投资者转向另类资产,从而增加对比特币的需求。
美联储政策扮演关键角色
Thelen回应称,如果债券收益率上升是由于美联储加息所致,则可能对比特币构成压力。他回顾道,在2022年美联储激进加息期间,比特币曾贬值约64%,并警告称,如果美联储继续采取激进的加息措施,类似的下行压力可能会重现。
以上内容不构成投资建议。

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