SHIB's breakthrough momentum weakened, and an overbought signal emerged, with key support at US$0.0000500.
After a significant breakthrough after a long period of sideways trading, trading activity surged for a time, but then quickly lost momentum. Trading volume of the memecoin soared nearly twelve times, the largest one-day gain in months. However, despite the surge, early signs suggest that buying pressure has waned.
Surge in Volume and Key Support Areas
Recent trading data shows that SHIB's trading volume has reached levels unseen in previous trading sessions, accompanied by explosive price fluctuations. This surge in volume usually occurs at the beginning of a potential trend reversal or brief rebound. After this upward breakthrough, the SHIB briefly rose above the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) of $0.0000500. This level has been a resistance level for several months, but now it has become a key support level. Maintaining prices above this level is seen as the key to maintaining the integrity of the breakthrough pattern.
| key level| price| role||----------|------|------||100th EMA| $0.0000500| Critical short-term support||200 emas| $0.0000600| Main macro resistance||short-term support| $0.0000445| If it falls below, it is a risk area|
200th EMA remains the main resistance
As the broader downtrend continued, the 200-day EMA near $0.0000600 became the main area of resistance. Since the beginning of the year, every attempt by SHIB to rebound during its decline has failed to break through this technical barrier. Analysts pointed out that if the daily close could credibly stand on the 200th EMA, it could trigger a rise in bullish sentiment and attract new momentum traders to enter.
Potential downside risks and market indicators
On the downside, a fall below US$0.0000445 will severely weaken recent technical improvements, as the region previously provided support for SHIB prices before the breakthrough. If the tokens fall within this range, then the rally is more likely to be driven by the liquidation of short positions rather than strong and sustained demand. Momentum indicators further add caution. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) rose above 70 for the first time in months, putting the SHIB into overbought territory. Historically, similar surges in overbought levels have often been followed by a cooling off period, even if an immediate reversal does not occur.
Despite the recent decline, the technical aspects of SHIB are still stronger than before the breakthrough, but market observers believe that the easier part of this rally may be over. The next few trading days will be crucial for Shiba Inu, as the price's performance near the US$0.0000500 support level and whether buyers can challenge the 200th EMA will determine whether a broader bullish trend develops or whether a rebound will lose momentum and fall back to previous lows.

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