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CME executives warn U.S. traders face perpetual contract tax risks

2026-07-31 00:58:52
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CME Group CEO warns: U.S. perpetual futures contracts face tax risks

CME Group Chairman and CEO Terry Duffy expressed concern about the U.S. government's approval of perpetual futures contracts, arguing that it could expose traders to huge tax and regulatory uncertainty, especially when these products are reclassified as swaps rather than futures. When talking about the impact on market participants, Duffy pointed out that the industry generally ignores ambiguity in tax treatment.

Legal dispute over product classification

CME Group, one of the world's largest derivatives exchanges, is currently launching a legal challenge with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) over the regulatory framework for perpetual futures contracts in the United States. The core of the ongoing legal dispute is whether these contracts, which have no expiration dates and are subject to frequent settlement payments, should be regarded as traditional futures or swaps under U.S. law.

Duffy believes that regular payments of funds between counterparties allow perpetual futures to meet the legal definition of a swap. He cited the structure of these contracts and pointed out that traders regularly exchange payments to keep prices consistent with the underlying asset, a mechanism that distinguishes them from futures with fixed maturity dates. Perpetual contracts involve repetitive payment exchanges, which meets the definition of swaps in U.S. regulations.

According to Duffy, if perpetual contracts are classified as futures, institutional participants can enjoy a mixed tax rate of 60% long-term capital gains and 40% short-term capital gains under Section 1256 of the Tax Code. However, if reclassified as a swap, the proceeds will be treated as ordinary income, potentially causing the trader to bear higher taxes.

Tax implications and regulatory uncertainties

The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has not yet issued comprehensive guidance on the tax treatment of perpetual futures contracts, further exacerbating concerns among market participants. Duffy emphasized that if regulators or courts ultimately rule that these products are swaps, traders who have declared them as futures could face conflicts with the IRS and could bear retroactive taxes. Duffy questioned how the IRS would respond if traders had in the past classified such contracts as futures and filed tax returns, and the court later ruled that they should be taxed as swaps.

Legal professionals also pointed out that the complexity of distinguishing swaps from futures is that perpetual futures have the characteristics of both products. Rustin Diehl, a tax lawyer at Allegis Law and a professor at Weber State University, emphasized the tension between the economic function of a product and the language of the law. He pointed out that the challenge facing regulators and courts is whether classification should be based on substance or form.

Judicial and Regulatory Response

Legal experts such as Jason Gottlieb, a partner at Morrison Cohen, further pointed out that the legal definition of swaps is too broad and could cover a large number of derivatives products. This ambiguity leaves major questions about the regulation and tax treatment of new products such as perpetual futures. The recent Supreme Court decision in Loper Bright limited the authority of federal agency interpretations, making judges more accountable for interpreting vague laws. Experts believe that before classification issues are resolved, judges may first review whether the CFTC followed due process and provided sufficient reasons during the approval process.

Even if the lawsuit is concluded, the IRS tax guidance may not be immediately consistent with the CFTC or court rulings. Deere pointed out that the IRS usually refers to the CFTC's definition of goods, but does not automatically follow it when determining tax obligations. Duffy warned that large trading companies and institutions may still be at risk from misreporting transactions involving perpetual futures until a final decision is made by regulators, the IRS or the court. He pointed out the reputational and financial hazards and commented that large companies that regularly hedge and trade these products could face unexpected tax bills and increased public scrutiny if regulatory rules change retroactively.

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