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Reasons for XRP's rise today and outlook for the market outlook

2026-09-04 03:37:46
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Concise Overview

XRP attracted more buyers to participate in the market due to increased trading volume, improved technical indicators and widespread demand for alternative currencies, and prices rose accordingly.

XRP must gain a foothold in the US$1.30 to US$1.35 support area to challenge the resistance levels of US$1.44, US$1.55 and the ultimate target of US$2. If it falls below US$1.30, the breakthrough trend will expire; economic data, Federal Reserve expectations and the stability of Bitcoin may affect the next step of XRP.

XRP rose 9.4%. Technical indicators and alternative currency demand jointly pushed

XRP up 9.4% in 24 hours. Thanks to improved indicators and widespread alternative currency demand, it attracted cryptocurrency buyers. The token is currently trading above its 7-day moving average (approximately US$1.38) and 200-day moving average (approximately US$1.27), with an RSI indicator of 58.68. Trading volume increased 7.66% to approximately US$2.88 billion; meanwhile, the CoinMarketCap Alternative Coin Seasonal Index rose 9.38%, indicating that funds were flowing outward from Bitcoin.

XRP and the entire cryptocurrency market surged immediately after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller delivered a speech that lowered the probability of a September rate hike to 38%. Waller said at the central bank's September meeting on Thursday that he preferred to keep interest rates unchanged as long as there were no surprises from upcoming inflation data.

XRP breakthrough trend puts US$2 target within reach

According to market analyst Cleo Schmidt, XRP has encountered resistance in the $1.30 to $1.55 range several times in the past few months. However, recent price movements have transformed this former area of resistance into an important area of support.

Schmidt pointed out that $1.30 to $1.35 is a range that buyers must stick to maintain a breakout trend. Holding the area could push prices towards $2, but XRP must first overcome multiple obstacles. It is worth noting that the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is around $1.34, further highlighting the importance of this support area. A daily close above $1.40 could open the channel for a rise to $1.44 and boost buyer confidence.

After breaking through $1.44, XRP will face stronger selling pressure around $1.55. Breaking through this ceiling will provide a more reliable confirmation of the expected $2 rise target.

Support level determines subsequent trends

Although the structure appears favorable, XRP still faces clear downside risks if buying activity weakens. A continued break below $1.30 would declare the breakthrough a failure and trap traders betting on further gains. Schmidt said on social media: "XRP has repeatedly encountered resistance in the $1.30 - 1.55 range for months, and now this resistance has just turned into support. This is not a 'talk about it later' situation. Hold on to $1.30-$1.35,$2 is the only clear goal. If you lose this level, the bulls will be completely trapped." This weakness could push XRP to support levels between $1.30 and $1.32 before a new round of rebound attempts can emerge. Therefore, price movements around $1.34 remain crucial in judging the next direction of the token.

Macroeconomic dynamics may also affect demand, and investors will continue to evaluate employment data against the Federal Reserve's policy expectations. Strong economic data may support expectations of maintaining restricted interest rates, putting pressure on risk-sensitive assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Overall, the increase in XRP reflects increased trading volume, improved momentum and widespread demand for alternative currencies. Holding the $1.30 to $1.35 range will keep the $1.44,$1.55 and $2 targets reachable; loss of support will weaken the bullish outlook.

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