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Polkadot瞄准1.30美元,ETF预期与网络活动增强

2026-09-21 21:45:34
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DOT up 13%: Increased online activity and ETF inflows boost market confidence

Polkadot (DOT)'s market attention has increased significantly as online activity increases and exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows return. The number of active addresses doubled this month, and transaction volume and on-chain trading activity continued to rise. Currently, DOT's key target price is $1.30, but a break below the support level of $0.945 could weaken the bullish structure.

Improvement in Internet activity and capital flow

Recently, DOT experienced a strong one-day increase, reaching 13%, regaining widespread market attention. This rise is not only due to the recovery of demand in the broader cryptocurrency market, but also depends on the strengthening of its own fundamentals. Since September, Polkadot's online activity has accelerated significantly, transaction volume has increased significantly, and capital flows have also shown a more positive trend.

data showed that Polkadot's monthly active addresses surged from 40,000 to 82,900 in September, before falling slightly to about 80,300. This increase indicates a significant increase in the number of users interacting with the network during the month. At the same time, token trading activity has also expanded at a significant rate, with monthly trading volume increasing by 116% to approximately US$4.7 billion.

In terms of trading frequency, the daily trading volume has remained high recently. Token Terminal data shows that the average daily transaction volume is approximately 238,000, and the network has processed approximately 7.2 million transactions in the past 30 days.

资金流向也为DOT持有者提供了另一个积极信号。国库净现金流在连续五个负值日后转为正值,最新24小时净流入超过204万美元,这一数字约为此前一周正值的十倍。尽管每周国库流量仍为负值(约159万美元),但ETF活动显示出机构兴趣的回归。

21Shares Polkadot ETF录得66.3万美元的净流入。该产品在九月份之前曾经历了两个月没有实质性资金流入的时期。随着代币化相关监管环境的日益清晰,新的买盘动能有望进一步增强。

DOT能否将1.30美元转化为支撑位?

在日线图表上,DOT价格一直尊重一条上升趋势线。近期价格在第三次触及该支撑位后反弹。买方目前似乎正致力于推动DOT向1.30美元区域迈进。随着市场波动性的增加,布林带(Bollinger Bands)也随之扩张。同时,随机相对强弱指数(Stochastic RSI)开始从超卖状态恢复,该指标近期触及30,暗示抛售压力可能已经减弱。

这种技术形态为多头继续当前复苏行情提供了空间。若能持续突破1.30美元,可能会改变更广泛的技术结构。届时,DOT将面临1.44美元区域的另一重要阻力位。若成功突破该区域,上方可能看向1.70美元及更高水平。

However, traders still need to pay close attention to this uptrend line. Once it breaks below, the current bullish structure may be weakened, causing momentum to move downward. The key support level of $0.945 is particularly important for the overall trend. If this support is lost, the current "higher highs, lower lows" sequence will be destroyed, thereby invalidating the current bullish logic.

Overall, DOT combines enhanced online activity with improved capital flows, and technical momentum also supports the possibility of further gains. Bulls need continued buying pressure to turn $1.30 into solid support.

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