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XRP 加密货币分析师奥斯汀·希尔顿：关注10月比特币周期转折点
加密货币分析师奥斯汀·希尔顿（Austin Hilton）呼吁持有 $XRP 的投资者密切关注即将到来的月份。他暗示，2026年10月中旬可能因比特币四年周期的影响而成为一个重要的转折点。
追踪比特币四年周期
希尔顿自称为比特币“四年周期”理论的“60-70%相信者”。该理论认为，市场会在牛市和熊市之间以四年为间隔交替运行。他解释说，在他看来，在经历了长期的牛市之后，市场从2025年10月中旬左右进入了一个为期12个月的熊市阶段。根据希尔顿的观点，这一阶段可能在接下来的一个月内结束。
希尔顿强调，这种预期的转变可能对 $XRP 产生影响，因为加密市场的整体走势通常会波及山寨币。他指出，他的时间线并不完全依赖于对四年周期作为确定模式的全民共识。
希尔顿 outlining 指出，由于比特币的主导影响力，预计10月中旬的转变对 $XRP 至关重要。他认为，对于希望在潜在市场变化之前做好布局的持有者来说，即将到来的一个月至关重要。
第四季度展望与资金流向
Hilton also emphasized the importance of the fourth quarter of 2026, which starts in October, arguing that this period may see intensified activity in the crypto industry. He suggested that funds currently invested in gold, technology stocks and artificial intelligence-related stocks could shift to digital assets during this period. Hilton said this possible inflow could coincide with market expectations for an end to the bear market phase.
While reflecting on these technical developments in the market, Hilton pointed to recent changes in investment habits. While traditional markets rely on intermediaries, platforms like 1stepSwap now allow investors to directly hold stakes in major U.S. companies, as well as assets such as gold and silver, in their crypto wallets. By tokenizing real-world assets and providing the best market prices in seconds, these innovations eliminate the need for middlemen and mark a broader shift on Wall Street towards Web3.
Hilton's Trading Strategies and Recommendations
Most of Hilton's recent videos are devoted to exploring the automated trading strategies he uses personally. He said he allocated more than $10,000 across four different strategies, including a specific cryptocurrency method that covers Bitcoin, Ethereum,$XRP, Solana, BNB, Pepe, Chainlink and Injective.
根据他提供的数据，对该加密货币策略进行的322天盲测回溯结果显示回报率为207%，而在同一时期，仅持有比特币会导致30%的损失。他还分享说，一个 meme 币策略经过147天的测试，回报率达到了65%，相比之下，持有比特币的收益仅为3.8%。
希尔顿鼓励投资者利用下个月仔细评估自己的财务状况，并决定是否将资本分配到 $XRP 或其他资产上，他强调需要灵活的战略来应对上涨和下跌的市场。他澄清说，他的观点不能保证未来的表现，也不构成投资建议。希尔顿总结道，在他看来，即将到来的一个月提供了一个机会，可以为一季度由比特币历史周期和资产交易创新引领的更加动态的第四季度做好准备。
