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STS Digital CEO warns: Bitcoin faces three major structural obstacles to the next bull market

2026-08-01 12:51:49
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Structural resistance behind Bitcoin's recent sideways movements

Bitcoin's recent sideways movements are not another time the market is deserted. Analysis by STS Digital CEO Maxime Siler pointed out that the market is facing a series of specific structural obstacles, the impact of which goes far beyond macro uncertainties. Institutional option selling, the siphon effect of artificial intelligence on funds, and Washington's inability to regulate basic cryptocurrencies are working together to kill the seeds of the next rally.

Option selling suppresses the market, catalysts are scarce

Professional trading desks and funds have turned to selling Bitcoin call options on a large scale to make gains. In a range-volatile market, this is a rational operation: when volatility is low, stable royalty income continues to flow in. The price is that the top of the market is systematically sold off. Every price surge will be absorbed by market makers or quantitative strategies, creating a ceiling that is difficult to exceed by retail spot buying. In the absence of a powerful new narrative, the pressure of institutional options activity acts as a silent anchor.

Artificial intelligence sips money from speculative digital assets

Money that may have flowed into cryptocurrencies in past cycles is now chasing another story. Nvidia's profit momentum and the huge scale of AI infrastructure investment have made artificial intelligence the dominant liquidity magnet. This directly competes with Bitcoin for the same amount of growth-seeking capital. At the same time, even within the crypto space, AI-themed tokens and projects have attracted disproportionate attention-as evidenced by recent trends in the NFT and BRC-20. Although developer activity on major blockchains such as Ethereum and Solana remains active according to the latest rankings, the speculative capital used to drive breakthroughs has become thinner than in 2021.

Regulatory stagnation hinders institutional entry

The United States still lacks clear stablecoins and market structure regulations. Despite increased lobbying, the political will to complete these regulatory frameworks has waned. Banks that had said they were prepared to custody digital assets or launch tokenized products have now stalled. Uncertainty is no longer about suppression, but about inertia. In the absence of federal rules that define responsibilities and protections, the largest institutional capital will remain on the sidelines, limiting a source of demand that could otherwise offset the pressure of option selling.

Uncertainty still exists

None of these three obstacles is permanent. If spot volatility rebounds for any reason, options markets could quickly reprice, forcing market makers to hedge delta, thereby amplifying rather than suppressing price volatility. AI trading will eventually usher in its own profit-taking moment, and funds may flow back into cryptocurrency. Regulation is delayed, but it is still possible: a breakthrough in a narrow bill would show that the deadlock can be broken. The risk is that each obstacle strengthens each other, transforming structural stagnation into a long-term state of low confidence. Currently, the market is not fighting weak demand, but fighting three structural headwinds that coexist and refuse to back down.

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