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BTC 
XRP Ripple Price Analysis: Key levels that must be held to avoid further declines
XRP is under pressure in both USDT and BTC trading pairs, and despite several brief rebound attempts, sellers still dominate the overall trend. The USDT chart shows buyers are guarding an important support area, while the XRP/BTC trading pair continues to trade near multi-month lows, highlighting the token\'s continued weakness relative to market leaders.
Ripple price analysis: USDT trading pair
On the daily time frame, XRP is trading in a clear downward channel, and the overall market structure is still bearish. Prices remain below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, both of which slope downward and pose dynamic resistance above $1.25. This alignment suggests that unless there is a meaningful trend reversal, momentum remains in favor of sellers.
After falling below the US$1.25 mark in early June, XRP has found demand near the key US$1 area, where buyers stepped in repeatedly to prevent further declines. This region has now become the most important support area requiring attention. As long as this support level is held, the market is likely to continue to form a short-term bottom.
On the upside side, the first major resistance is around $1.25. As mentioned earlier, this area coincides with both the downward 100-day moving average and the upper boundary of the channel, making it a major obstacle on any path to sustained recovery. If you successfully break through this region, prices will face the test of the 200-day moving average (approximately US$1.45); while losing the US$1 support may accelerate another round of decline, pointing to the channel\'s downtrend line (approximately US$0.80).
At the same time, although prices have repeatedly hit lower lows around US$1, the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) has formed higher lows, showing a potential bullish divergence. While this in itself does not confirm a reversal, it suggests that short momentum may have exhausted and if resistance begins to weaken, buyers may try to pull up again.
Bitcoin transactions vs.
For Bitcoin, the technical aspects of XRP appear weaker. Similarly, the pair remains below two major moving averages, which continue to decline, strengthening the long-term bearish structure.
After weeks of sideways trading, XRP/BTC once again tested key level support near 1700 Satoshi. This level has become the bottom of the recent consolidation, and another wave of downward breaks is currently underway. If the daily line closes below 1700 Satoshi, it will likely invalidate the current range and increase the possibility of prices extending to the next major demand area (approximately 1450 to 1500 Satoshi).
To regain bullish momentum, buyers first need to regain the resistance zone of 1850 Satoshi, which is also close to the downward 100-day moving average. Until then, each rally still looked like a corrective rally in a larger downtrend, which could lead to further devaluation of XRP against Bitcoin.
