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Bitcoin faces challenges, cryptocurrency markets are in turmoil

2026-07-09 12:46:55
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Bitcoin faces challenges amid turmoil in the cryptocurrency market

Against the backdrop of intensified global economic concerns, Bitcoin prices have retreated slightly to just above US$62,000, falling by about 2% in the past 24 hours. This is not an isolated phenomenon-the entire market has also weakened as semiconductor and artificial intelligence stocks have fallen sharply.

What factors are affecting market dynamics?

Asian markets had a turbulent night due to profit-taking related to Samsung shares. At the same time, escalating military tensions between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices up nearly 5%. This chain reaction spread to the U.S. stock index, entering a downward range at the opening. Investors pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve\'s June meeting for clues on the direction of future interest rates-after all, the Federal Reserve\'s monetary policy has a significant impact on market expectations.

Has the futures market laid the foundation?

Yes. At the beginning of this week, investor interest in Bitcoin rose sharply. On Monday, cumulative volume Delta data showed that there were net purchases of US$585 million in the futures market and US$119 million in the spot market, bringing total purchases to US$705 million, which once pushed Bitcoin above US$64,000. However, on Wednesday, due to rising oil prices, a sharp sell-off in semiconductor stocks and a cautious attitude towards the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, investors \'sentiment turned sharply and they reduced their risk exposure.

Cryptocurrency futures sold close to $500 million, and the spot market also saw a sell-off of $86 million. The decline in funding rates and the decrease in open interest contracts indicate that traders are shrinking positions, but funding rates remain positive, indicating that market demand still exists amid risk aversion.

Futures buying reached US$585 million at the beginning of the week, but turned into selling of nearly US$500 million by midweek. The spot market initially had a buy of $119 million and eventually closed with a sell of $86 million. Overall, the rally at the beginning of the week reversed into a safe-haven trend on Wednesday.

The scale of long liquidations increased significantly, totaling approximately US$47 million, while short liquidations were only US$4 million, which fully reflected market sentiment. If Bitcoin falls back to near $61,000, it could trigger a wave of forced liquidations, leading to a deeper decline. However, spot market activity and demand for Bitcoin ETFs suggest there appears to be some buying support below the $60,000.

How fragile is current market sentiment?

Recent price movements have exposed the fragility of bullish enthusiasm-enthusiasm that comes mainly from derivatives markets rather than organic growth. The Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index also confirms this, showing that the market continues to be in a state of \"fear\".

Adding to the situation were geopolitical tensions, uncertainty about the Fed\'s decisions, and news that a major holder (Strategy) sold 3,588 bitcoins. With the current bitcoin price below Strategy\'s average cost of holding a position ($74,582), the market has begun to speculate whether more assets will be sold under pressure.

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