Cardano (ADA) remained at around US$0.165 after Van Rossem launched the main network on a hard fork, but a breakthrough of US$0.20 still requires stronger demand support.
Key Points
Cardano has activated version 11 of the protocol, added Plutus improvements, and laid the foundation for subsequent network expansion work.
ADA needs to break through resistance levels around US$0.17 and US$0.18 before traders can look towards US$0.20.
Large-amount transfer activity is still sluggish, but positive capital flows indicate that buyers have not left the market.
Cardano upgrade
After the governance proposal was approved on July 13 at Epoch 643, Cardano successfully implemented the Van Rossem hard fork at the Epoch Border on July 18. This upgrade, after obtaining approval from the required governance agencies, migrates the main network to protocol version 11. This release adds Plutus functionality to speed up smart contract execution and reduce costs, as well as updates the cost model used by developers. In addition, ledger consistency changes, unique verifiable random function keys, and revisions to reference input rules have been introduced. Van Rossem is an upgrade of the same era, so it optimizes the existing network without bringing Cardano into a new era of development. Its improvements also pave the way for the proposed Dijkstra Era and Ouroboros Leios, a framework designed to improve throughput while ensuring security and decentralization.
ADA Price Outlook
The ADA traded at around $0.165 on Sunday after rallying from support around $0.16, and the overall cryptocurrency market rose about 0.54% to $2.2 trillion during the same period. Bitcoin (BTC) remained above US$64,000, Ethereum (ETH) traded close to US$1,860, and Ripple (XRP) recorded a slight gain. The next technical resistance is around $0.17. If the four-hour K-line can close firmly above this level, it may push the price towards US$0.18; and after breaking through US$0.18, the US$0.20 target will be within reach-about 20% higher than the current US$0.165. Momentum indicators are still differentiated: the moving average convergence divergence indicator is slightly positive, but the narrowing of the signal line indicates that the rebound requires more volume; while the Chaikin capital flow indicator is close to 0.13, indicating continued net inflows. Large ADA transfers of more than $100,000 are still well below the January peak (more than 200), indicating that large households are cautious. ADA must hold on to US$0.16 to maintain the rebound structure. If it breaks below this support level, it may test US$0.15 before buyers try to counterattack again. Cardano has repeatedly linked network upgrades to enhanced adoption expectations, but technology updates do not guarantee continued price increases. Recent ADA transactions suggest that resistance breakthroughs require continued volume and broader market support, not just protocol improvements.

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