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CLARITY法案投票后XRP价格承压,但一项指标表现突出

2026-09-17 00:16:57
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The defeat of the CLARITY Act put pressure on XRP, but the data on the necklace is eye-catching.

As the U.S. Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act, XRP prices have previously suffered heavy selling pressure. However, an interesting on-chain development is providing a different perspective on the recent performance of tokens.

According to data shared by Sanitation, despite recent market turmoil, the number of XRPL addresses holding at least 1 million XRPs remains at a high level. Significant growth in XRP before its strong rise in August was recorded on the same indicator. While the data does not guarantee another recovery, it raises an important question: Are large XRP holders still holding on to their positions while the broader market struggles?

85 new million-dollar XRP wallets appear before rebound in August

Sanitation's latest chart shows that 85 new addresses holding at least 1 million XRPs appeared in the two days before the token rose 67% between August 17 and August 21.

The analysis platform points out that due to the huge number of XRPs controlled by these large wallets, they have a considerable impact on market liquidity.

This time point of growth is particularly interesting. The surge in the number of million-level XRP addresses occurred before the price increase began, rather than simply following the increase in XRP prices.

However, the increase in the number of large wallets does not necessarily mean that 85 new investors have entered the market. Existing holders can reallocate their coins among multiple addresses, and exchanges and escrow wallets can also affect this metric.

该图表表明,符合条件的地址数量在反弹前有所增加,但这并不能证明那些钱包导致了随后的价格上涨。

Santiment图表显示鲸鱼数量仍处于高位

最重要的是8月突破之后发生了什么。

Santiment的图表追踪了从2026年3月到9月期间持有至少100万枚代币的地址数量与XRP价格的走势。来源:X/@Santiment数据

在8月反弹之前,大型钱包数量徘徊在2,030左右。随着XRP开始强劲上涨,该数字跃升至2,120以上。

随后,该数字从峰值回落,但在8月下旬和9月初保持相对稳定。

在图表的最新读数中,约有2,117个地址仍持有至少100万枚XRP。

与此同时,XRP的价格已从8月高点大幅回撤。图表的最终价格读数约为1.38美元,尽管这一快照早于最新的市场下跌。

这造成了明显的背离:XRP已经让出了反弹的大部分成果,但百万级XRP地址的数量并未回到突破前的水平。

这可能表明大型钱包的参与度仍然很高。尽管如此,仅凭钱包数量无法确定这些持有者是正在积累、出售部分余额,还是仅仅维持足够的XRP以保持在100万枚门槛之上。

CLARITY法案受挫给XRP价格带来压力

链上数据出现在XRP的困难时刻。

9月15日,由于程序性投票未达到所需的60票,美国参议院未能推进《CLARITY法案》。

这项立法旨在为更广泛的加密货币市场建立更清晰的规则,其未能推进为投资者带来了额外的不确定性。

支持Ripple的律师Bill Morgan认为,XRP将从该立法中获益良多,这不仅是因为其自身的法律地位,还因为考虑开发XRP相关产品的机构也需要在整个加密行业获得监管确定性。

这为XRP对挫折产生的特别负面反应提供了一种可能的解释,尽管更广泛的市场抛售和美联储的不确定性也是相关因素。

重要的是,失败的程序性投票并不意味着《CLARITY法案》已永久失败。立法者仍可能尝试重新审议该立法,尽管剩余的立法日历构成了障碍。

Ripple XRPL的发展增添了另一个长期视角

Santiment还指出,围绕XRP Ledger的发展是其更具建设性的长期展望的一部分。

其中包括由Ripple支持的RLUSD信贷基金,专注于金融科技和支付借贷,以及涉及ZILO和Licuido的投资,该平台将这些投资与代币化、过户代理服务和抵押品流动性联系起来。

此类举措可能会扩大与XRP Ledger相关的金融基础设施和应用。

然而,RLUSD活动或代币化的增加并不会自动转化为对XRP的同等需求。该代币用于网络费用和储备要求,但对XRP的经济效益取决于这些服务的运作方式,以及它们的增长是否会创造有意义的额外代币需求。

目前,这些发展为XRPL更广泛的扩张提供了背景,而非证明XRP价格必须上涨的证据。

这对XRP价格意味着什么?

最新的Santiment数据为XRP近期的下跌提供了一个潜在的积极反面观点。

持有至少100万枚XRP的地址数量仍维持在约2,117个,远高于8月反弹前立即记录的水平。这表明,即使价格走弱,大型钱包数量也保留了大部分早期的增长。

但是,高企的钱包数量与新的买入信号之间存在关键区别。

该图表并未显示另一次类似于8月突破前85个钱包激增的突然增长。相反,该指标在很大程度上稳定在较高水平。

我们的观点是,数据给了XRP持有者一个监控大型钱包行为的理由,但这不足以判断市场底部。

百万级XRP地址数量的 renewed 增加,伴随着改善的价格走势和更强的更广泛市场条件,将提供更有说服力的潜在复苏证据。

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