Tushar Jain, co-founder of Multicoin Capital: Long-term downturn weakens investor confidence and funds may shift to high-quality altcoins.
Tushar Jain, co-founder of cryptocurrency investment institution Multicoin Capital, said that a long-term market decline will weaken investors 'belief in a strong bull market. According to Jain's analysis, if Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) continue to underperform the market during this cycle, it may lead to funds flowing into high-quality altcoins, thus promoting a larger rise in these assets.
Be wary of cognitive bias caused by "bear market trauma"
Jain pointed out that one of the mistakes investors often make is to fall into "bear market trauma", that is, after a long and painful downward period, forget the huge power contained in price fluctuations in a bull market. He cited Ethereum's surge from $10 to $1,000 in 2017 and Solana (SOL)'s rise from $2 to $250 in 2021 as examples to illustrate the astonishing extent of the explosive power of the bull market.
BTC and ETH may lag behind in this cycle
Jain believes that in the current market cycle, the performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum may be significantly weaker than other high-quality crypto assets. Therefore, he argued that even if the total market value of the entire cryptocurrency market does not need to increase significantly as in the previous cycle, altcoins can achieve significant price increases.
Comparison of market value growth expectations and historical data
引用CoinGecko的数据,Jain指出,在2021年的上一轮周期中,加密货币总市值几乎翻了四倍,从约7,700亿美元增长至3万亿美元。他表示,如果本轮周期市场仅实现两倍的增长,总市值将从当前的2.1万亿美元增至4.2万亿美元,这一增幅足以支撑山寨币的价格大幅上扬。
以上内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。

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