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Bitcoin rises on the eve of Fed decision, markets weigh inflation

2026-09-13 12:22:34
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Bitcoin rose ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision as the market digested the latest inflation data

Bitcoin prices rose before the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision. The market is digesting the latest U.S. inflation data, and Decrypt reported that the token price was close to $79,007 on September 11. The move provides a macro context for traders in places such as Jakarta, Bangkok, Manila and Singapore who are closely watching the next policy signal.


Bitcoin's increase stems from a single report

The above rebound data stems from a single report on September 11, 2026. According to Decrypt's original records, Bitcoin's trading price was close to US$79,007 that day, with an intraday increase of 3.24%. As independent historical evidence of the transaction date cannot be obtained, the data should be regarded as "reported" rather than "confirmed". Relevant reports can be seen: "Bitcoin faces the risk of being exhausted before the Federal Reserve's decision."


Bitcoin price movements in context

Another market snapshot tells a completely different story. CoinGecko data obtained at 01:29 Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) on September 13 showed that the price of Bitcoin was US$77,300, which had been basically flat in the past 24 hours. This is an independent observation window and cannot verify the rise on September 11. Relevant reports can be seen: "Bitcoin faces the risk of being exhausted before the Federal Reserve's decision."

Bitcoin Price (USD):$77,300

Snapshot Time: September 13, 2026· 01:29:40 UTC

Bitcoin was traded at US$77,300 in the CoinGecko API snapshot at 01:29:40 UTC on September 13, 2026. This is an update that is different from the rebound reported by Decrypt on September 11 and does not confirm previous historical trends. The linked public Bitcoin page displays real-time data, which may differ from this snapshot.

When data was obtained on September 13, the market value of Bitcoin was approximately US$1.55 trillion, and the 24-hour transaction volume was approximately US$15.24 billion. Market sentiment is biased towards positive, with the "Fear and Greed Index" of 61, which is classified as "Greed".


Data interpretation of inflation release

The inflation readings behind the headline cannot be independently verified. According to unconfirmed reports cited by Decrypt, the overall consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.4% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month in August, with the core CPI annual rate of 2.4%. Because official releases from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics were not accessible during the study period, these numbers remain a single source. Relevant reports can be seen: "Bitcoin rises moderately amid tariff optimism."


How the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision shapes the prospects of Bitcoin

A solid fact is the point of time. The Federal Reserve's official calendar will schedule the September 2026 FOMC meeting from September 15 to 16, and notes that the meeting will release a "Economic Forecast Summary". No interest rate decision has been announced or verified.


Interest rate expectations after inflation data

Market implied probabilities are also based on reports rather than confirmation. A single source said CME FedWatch data showed that the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike was about 69%, Polymarket was about 62%, and Myriad was about 61%. These are market estimates, not Fed guidelines, and are not directly captured during the research process. Relevant reports can be seen: "Bitcoin rises moderately amid tariff optimism."


Why interest rates are crucial to Bitcoin

Policy expectations affect liquidity and appetite for risky assets, and Bitcoin has fluctuated with the FOMC calendar many times; this was confirmed by regional traders who previously saw Bitcoin and Ethereum holding steady before the FOMC resolution. The relationship is not decisive, and decisions at this week's meeting have nothing to do with guidance for future meetings. Some analysts pointed out that there is a risk of "all good things coming out" before the Fed's decision.


What should the Fed focus on when announcing its decision

Readers should focus on the published interest rate target range, the wording of the statement on inflation and the future path, and the confirmed "Economic Forecast Summary" tied to this meeting. This week's schedule keeps exchanges in the ASEAN region (such as Indodax, Tokocrypto and Coins.ph) on track for the Fed's interest rate decisions.

For traders in Southeast Asia, Bitcoin's initial reaction may change as the announcement is further interpreted. Prior to September 16, any maintenance, interest rate cuts or interest rates will remain a scenario rather than an established outcome.

Disclaimer :This article is for reference only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. There are significant risks in the cryptocurrency and digital asset markets. Be sure to study for yourself before making a decision.

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