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BTC Bitcoin continues to fluctuate sideways, with strategic operations profitable
As I explained in last week's analysis, Bitcoin is still in a fully horizontally consolidated market. The scenario I predicted is unfolding: prices fluctuate between a resistance range of $80,000 to $82,000 and a support range of $75,000 to $76,000. In response, I decided to use this volatile range to trade rather than try to predict breakthroughs that had not yet occurred.
BTC/USD Daily Chart: The price is still running between the support area of approximately US$75,000 -76,000 and the main resistance area of US$80,000 -82,000. Bitcoin is still trapped in the same range for a simple trade
So when the price of Bitcoin fell back to around US$80,000, I took a short position and closed it in the US$76,000 area. This is precisely the area where I tend to lock in profits because we are still in the horizontal channel at the daily level, and in my opinion, it is unreasonable to aggressively short on support.
In the end, the small transaction earned a profit of just over $4,000. This is not a surprising achievement, but it is in this market environment that I prefer to get the benefits given by the market rather than looking for a large 10% or 15% volatility opportunity.
Realized profit: + US$4,086.21
ETF fund flow is still short
在比特币现货 ETF 方面，我们继续观察到连续多日的净流出。虽然金额相对有限，但近期的动态显然不像之前那样在买入端表现出强烈的积极性。
这本身未必是一个极端的看跌信号，但在比特币陷入区间震荡的背景下，缺乏强劲的机构买入压力确实无助于市场突破 80,000 至 82,000 美元的阻力区。
本周可能迎来更高波动率
然而，随着美国联邦储备委员会（美联储）决策的临近，局势在本周可能会迅速发生变化。美联储会议可能是主要的市场催化剂，并可能导致波动率明显上升。
目前，我并不确信美联储会在本次会议中降息。最新的美国就业数据表现相对强劲，这为美联储提供了不急于降息的依据。
当然，市场可能会有不同的解读，而这正是我预期公告前后波动率增加的原因所在。
现阶段，无需将事情复杂化：市场处于横向整理状态，我在低位买入，在高位卖出，并等待比特币最终向我们展示其选择的方向。
