Need to know the key points
Shiba Inu Coin (SHIB) has returned to its 200-day moving average, while the market value support of US$3.26 billion has significantly strengthened its overall technical repair structure.
Access to Japan's regulated market and a US$3.1 billion short futures market have provided overall support for SHIB's market recovery momentum.
SHIB is currently ranked 28th in the world, with strong returns in August and trading volume of US$146.2 million to support its ambition to crack the top 25 cryptocurrencies.
Technical breakthrough: the recovery of the 200-day moving average and the establishment of key support levels
Shiba Inu Coin regained its 200-day moving average for the first time in 2026, marking a major technical reversal. Its market value has also stabilized within the range of US$3.22 billion to US$3.26 billion, forming an important support area.
According to TradingView data, the SHIB rebounded above the long-term moving average, eliminating a bearish structure that began in September last year. The breakthrough marks the most powerful attempt yet by the token to reverse a long-term downward trend and establish a reliable market bottom.
In addition, buyers have maintained the market value of SHIB at around US$3.26 billion, although this level has previously limited rebound attempts. Converting this once resistance level into support may provide the basis for subsequent significant gains.
However, the SHIB must remain above the 200-day moving average to maintain its improving technical structure. A loss in this indicator may weaken buyer confidence and expose the tokens to a new round of selling pressure with a lower market value.
Regulatory progress: Japanese market access adds credibility to SHIB
Technical strength is only part of the recovery process, and regulatory progress has also improved SHIB's market position. The Financial Services Agency of Japan has granted a cryptocurrency service provider license to Laser Digital, a subsidiary of Nomura Securities.
It is worth noting that regulators have included SHIB in the licensed company's list of digital assets available to institutional investors. This inclusion gives SHIB regulated exposure in a market known for its strict cryptocurrency compliance requirements.
Nomura's association may also enhance the token's credibility among professional investors seeking compliant digital asset channels. However, institutional accessibility does not guarantee demand and does not eliminate the common volatility associated with memocoins.
Short-selling futures and August gains helped SHIB rebound significantly
While SHIB established support above the long-term moving average, a widespread short-selling market in cryptocurrency futures brought significant buying pressure. Bear traders suffered a liquidation of approximately $3.1 billion as prices moved against short high-leverage positions.
As a result, traders buy assets to close out losing positions, which increases demand across the cryptocurrency market. SHIB benefits while protecting the market value range that supports its trend reversal.
In addition, SHIB rose 15.9% in August, despite historically weak performance in this period towards late summer. The increase was the token's strongest August performance in five years and boosted its quarterly results.
SHIB's total return in the third quarter reached a record 30.1%, underscoring the scale of its recovery from previous market weakness. However, past returns do not guarantee similar returns in the future, as market conditions and investor sentiment can change significantly.
Rankings and Prospects: Potential to impact the top 25 cryptocurrencies
According to CoinMarketCap data, Shiba Inu currently ranks as the 28th largest cryptocurrency in the world by market value. This position puts SHIB not far behind Avalanche and Sui in global rankings.
Specifically, SHIB only needs to increase by about 0.6% to surpass Avalanche, and it can surpass Sui with an increase of less than 1.2%. In addition, daily trading volume of $146.2 million provides liquidity that helps it move between ranking positions.
Historically, October was the strongest month for SHIB, with an average return of 167.5% on record. However, this average was severely affected by the abnormal increase in previous cycles and it is not possible to confirm that another similar market will occur.
The future of Shiba Inu now depends on whether buyers can hold on to the bottom support of US$3.26 billion and the regained moving average. Holding these levels could help hit the top 25, while failing to comply would weaken the bearish reversal structure that has lasted for eleven months.

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