Bittensor (TAO) surged nearly 19% in a single day to break through the US$300 mark, leading the artificial intelligence sector.
On Tuesday, Bittensor (TAO) prices climbed above US$300, a one-day gain of about 19%, and led a broad rebound in artificial intelligence tokens. The following are the key points of this market:
- Strong rally: TAO rose by about 19% in 24 hours, and a cumulative increase of 37% in a week, significantly outperforming the overall cryptocurrency market.
- Analyst expectations: After months of sideways accumulation, analysts expect TAO to achieve a breakthrough against Bitcoin, with a target price range of US$360 to US$380.
- Short-term correction risk: The overbought indicator issued a warning and a large number of short orders piled up around $320, indicating that a correction may occur in the short term.
Price surge and market dynamics
Market data showed that TAO once traded around US$319 on Tuesday, up from US$268 the previous day and about 37% higher than the trading price a week ago. During the same period, transaction volume reached approximately US$715 million. Due to the large differences in quotes between exchanges and data providers, some platforms showed TAO prices close to US$290 as the market cooled.
The rise comes as Bitcoin (BTC) stabilizes at the US$85,000 mark. Previously, Bitcoin surged 6% in a single day, triggering a broad recovery in the market, and funds returned to the high-risk token sector. According to market profiles, the Artificial Super Intelligence Alliance (FET) also led the market.
TAO's technical breakthroughs and goals
加密分析师Michaël van de Poppe指出,在其他山寨币轮番上涨时,TAO尚未摆脱低位盘整,这种形态被他解读为未来几周延迟性突破的前兆。他将目标价位设定在360至380美元之间。
在技术形态上,TAO在270美元附近突破了“倒V形头肩底”(Inverse Head-and-Shoulders)形态的颈线,随后进一步扩展涨势。随着交易者支付溢价以持有多头仓位,资金费率转为正值。此外,日线级别的MACD在出现看涨交叉后翻绿,目前价格远高于50日、100日和200日指数移动平均线(EMA)。这些均线聚集在230至238美元区间,低于当前水平超过20%。
市场追踪机构将这一轮上涨归因于资金重新回流至AI相关代币。在这一交易策略中,TAO通常被视为基准标的而非边缘品种。持有者还指出,奖励机制的调整正推动发行量向具有真实需求的基础设施子网倾斜,这支持了网络正在基于基本面重估价格的观点。某行业报告显示,AI代币单日增幅达9.4%。
潜在的回撤风险
尽管势头强劲,但风险同样存在。日线图上的RSI指标读数接近74,处于深度超买区域;而小时图上已出现看跌背离迹象。此外,320美元附近堆积了约100万美元的空头订单。
一份技术分析警告称,除非出现新的催化剂,否则在未来48至72小时内,价格回落至282美元或263美元的可能性更大。
回顾本月早些时候,TAO曾经历为期五天、涨幅约25%的行情,一度逼近300美元,但随后在该水平遇阻停滞。到了9月中旬,该代币曾跌至约219美元,并位于所有四条关键移动平均线之下。因此,本周的反弹不仅抹去了之前的跌幅,更实现了显著的逆转。

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