Today's Bitcoin Price Forecast (September 13)

Bitcoin prices opened flat on Sunday, with key resistance level of US$78,300 determining the trend

Bitcoin prices opened on Sunday at almost the same position as at the beginning of the weekend. After failing to generate significant price movements on Saturday, BTC remained trading around $77,000. This is broadly in line with our forecast yesterday. Bitcoin transactions on weekends this year have generally been relatively calm, especially in the absence of specific crypto catalysts, and Saturday transactions also followed this pattern. Friday's brief rally to $79,500 was rejected before the weekend, and buyers have yet to launch a serious assault on the $80,000.

This kept Bitcoin near US$77,000 as it entered September 13, but the lack of volatility should not be misinterpreted as a lack of important technical support. According to analyst Rekt Capital, this week's closing price will determine whether the current consolidation develops into another attempt at recovery or puts BTC at risk of returning to lower support.

Bitcoin needs to recover US$78,300

Rekt Capital focuses on approximately US$78,300 as the most important immediate level. His weekly BTC/USD chart shows that Bitcoin is currently trading below horizontal resistance of $78,298 after a brief breakthrough. The next major resistance level is around $82,195, while support below the market appears at $72,848,$65,720 and $59,433 respectively.

The current problem is Bitcoin's failure to successfully convert $78,300 into support. Rekt Capital believes that before the technical form becomes more constructive, BTC needs to regain that level and successfully conduct a secondary test from above. Instead, Bitcoin is currently in a close position below that level.

He compared this pattern to May 2026. The chart shows that Bitcoin also traded around $78,300 during May, before losing that level. Bitcoin subsequently failed to recover it and eventually fell below $72,848, with the adjustment extending to the $60,000 area. But that doesn't mean Bitcoin is destined to repeat the same decline. This comparison is based on similar price behavior around the same technical price level, rather than ensuring that the next step is exactly the same.

Source:X/@rektcapital

However, if the weekly line closes below US$78,300 and subsequent recovery attempts fail, the bearish argument will strengthen. The opposite scenario is straightforward: If BTC re-stands at $78,300 and holds that support, the next major target on Rekt Capital's chart will be around $82,200.

Bitcoin price levels to pay attention to today

With BTC around US$77,000, the first resistance zone is US$77,800 - 78,300. A breakthrough of $78,300 will improve the short-term setting, although bulls will still need to hold above that rather than just creating another intraday upper shadow. From there,$79,000-$79,500 becomes the next hurdle, followed by the psychological barrier of $80,000.

Above $80,000, Rekt Capital's weekly resistance level of $82,195 becomes a bigger target. Support remains around $76,000-$76,500. Buyers defended the area amid Friday's volatility, making it an important near-term bottom. A break below $76,000 would bring $75,000 back into view. More importantly, on the weekly chart, Rekt Capital identified the next major structural support level at approximately $72,850.

This makes $78,300 a critical level to determine whether Bitcoin begins to rebuild its recovery momentum or remains exposed to further downside risks.

Strategy's "never sell Bitcoin" policy is not an absolute rule

Another interesting Bitcoin story comes from Strategy (formerly known as MicroStrategy). CEO Phong Le recently explained that the company's famous "never sell" Bitcoin stance is more a marketing concept than an absolute corporate policy. He said that when the capital structure makes selling BTC necessary, companies need to remain willing to sell.

This is not just a theoretical statement. Strategy sold approximately 7,000 BTC units during its buying pause this summer, with most of the sales occurring in the $60,000 - 65,000 range. Le said the deals were driven by capital management considerations, including the payment of preferred stock dividends, rather than a bearish view of Bitcoin.

The sale represents less than 1% of the company's Bitcoin holdings, and Strategy will remain a substantial net buyer through 2026. After subsequently resuming purchases, its open position reached 845,050 BTC. As of September 7, the company reported that it had not conducted any BTC buying and selling operations in the previous week.

Therefore, a more accurate description of Strategy's current policy is not to "never sell" but to "maintain long-term net accumulator status while retaining the ability to sell BTC when the company's financing needs make it more desirable." This distinction is important given the size of Strategy's holdings. A flexible sell policy does not mean that the company is prepared to sell its Bitcoin, but it does eliminate the assumption that its BTC will never return to the market.

Revolut data breach exposes Bitcoin transaction history

Another incident that happened this weekend has raised a completely different concern among Bitcoin holders: privacy issues. Revolut confirmed that sensitive customer information was disclosed to an unauthorized party after receiving a fraudulent information request that appeared to originate from a legitimate government agency's email domain name. The company later discovered that the account was unauthorized and notified affected customers and regulators.

According to publicly reported customer notifications, compromised information for some of the affected users included identification documents, addresses, and bitcoin transaction history. This poses a particularly serious privacy issue for cryptocurrency users, as transaction history has the potential to link an individual's verified identity to blockchain activity.

Importantly, this has not been described as a compromise on the Bitcoin network itself. Issues involve sensitive customer information held by centralized financial institutions and fraudulent government-style data requests. Therefore, the incident is more related to custody and privacy risks surrounding centralized services and less to the underlying security of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin price forecast for September 13

may remain relatively calm Sunday, but today's weekly close makes this weekend more important than Saturday's narrow trading range suggests. Our basic scenario is to continue trading between $76,000 and $78,500 for most of the day. Bitcoin currently lacks the momentum needed to push $80,000 into the most likely immediate outcome, while buyers have shown a willingness to defend the middle of the $76,000.

The bullish scenario starts with a recovery above $78,300. Holding that level could bring back attention to the $79,000 - 79,500 and then try again to hit the $80,000. A stronger breakthrough would bring $82,200 into view. If BTC closes below $78,300 on the weekly basis and subsequently fails to recover, the bearish scenario will be more convincing. In this case, Rekt Capital's comparison with May will become more relevant, especially if $76,000 also falls. The larger weekly support level of US$72,850 may become an important downside target.