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BTC Bitcoin breaks through US$78,000: Market rebound in geopolitical games
Bitcoin (BTC) prices climb above US$78,000 as traders respond to new developments in U.S. -Iran diplomatic negotiations. Although Tehran rejected Donald Trump's hints that it was seeking a quick deal, market sentiment rebounded significantly.
Review of key market data and trends
In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin once fell to a low of US$76,367, and then quickly rebounded, reaching an intraday high of US$78,940. This volatility reflects investors 'cautious trade-offs in a complex geopolitical context.
Trump once said on social media that Iran is eager to reach an agreement as soon as possible, but Iranian state media denied this statement. At the same time, international oil prices have remained above US$100, continuing to push up inflation expectations and put pressure on risky asset markets.
The recovery of U.S. stocks drives the repair of risk appetite
Bitcoin rebounded strongly during the U.S. trading hours. Investors reassessed the market's direction after comparing Trump's remarks with signs that regional conflicts are still spreading. Trump posted on the Truth Social platform that Iran wanted to "reach an agreement as quickly and urgently as possible," while Washington expressed its willingness to continue the dialogue.
受此影响，美国股市也从早前的抛售中恢复过来。据报道，在超过6,000亿美元市值被抹去后，约5,700亿美元资金在三小时内回流市场。比特币随之跟随整体风险情绪的改善，逆转了此前的下跌趋势。
伊朗否认“急于求成”，局势仍存不确定性
随后，伊朗国家媒体驳斥了特朗普关于德黑兰寻求快速协议的指控。LiveSquawk援引伊朗ILNA通讯社的消息称，美国正通过巴基斯坦作为中间人，推动分阶段达成协议。截至目前，尚未有最终协议得到确认。
这一争端之所以备受关注，是因为能源市场仍面临地区冲突加剧的风险。目前，美国原油价格接近每桶103美元，布伦特原油价格接近108美元。此外，阿曼推迟了原定的霍尔木兹海峡区域会谈，而涉及伊朗支持的胡塞武装的战斗也进一步增加了红海航运路线的压力。
分析师观点：地缘风险可能长于预期
MPA Macro分析师Derek Tang指出，交易者越来越意识到，伊朗相关的冲突可能比市场预期持续时间更长，这将使能源价格难以获得缓解。高油价会强化通胀压力及更紧缩的货币政策预期，而这些因素通常会对比特币等投机性资产造成负面影响。
Bitcoin's recent performance has once again demonstrated how quickly geopolitical and macroeconomic news reverses short-term market sentiment. Previously, Bitcoin fell to $76,367, but rebounded to close to $79,000 in the same trading day. Although Bitcoin has recovered from a low of about $60,000 at the end of August, its price is still well below the all-time high of more than $126,000 set in October 2025.
