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XRP瞄准1.80美元,多头挑战关键1.50美元阻力位

2026-09-21 18:34:45
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Cryptocurrency trader Dom pointed out: US$1.50 is the key resistance level for XRP, and it is expected to look towards US$1.80 after a breakthrough.

Cryptocurrency trader Dom determined that US$1.50 is a key level that XRP must recover before hitting higher prices. If this conversion can be successfully achieved, it will open the way for the price to move towards $1.80.

Despite repeated attempts to push the price up to around $1.70, XRP failed to effectively break the resistance barrier for 230 days.

Technical analysis: Moving from resistance to support is crucial

According to Dom's analysis, XRP must convert US$1.50 from resistance to support to build a more solid market structure. Previously, XRP had tested its three-month and six-month rolling volume-weighted average prices (rVWAP) as support, which appeared for the first time in more than a year and was seen as a positive sign. However, Dom believes that standing above $1.50 is a more critical development node.

Over the past 230 days, XRP prices have been experiencing sustained selling pressure in the range of $1.48 to $1.55. The recent rally once again tested this supply area, with prices briefly climbing above the area, but then sellers regained control. This trend creates a long upper shadow line pointing to $1.70, indicating that buyers lack sufficient strength to defend higher prices. In the end, XRP fell back below $1.50, maintaining the original resistance structure intact.

这意味着多头目前需要一个令人信服的收盘价来确认突破。若能有效回测并守住该水平,则表明曾经的阻力已转变为支撑,从而为价格的进一步上涨创造空间。

#XRP 更新
本周价格首次在一个多月以来测试了3个月和6个月的rVWAP作为支撑——这是一个积极信号。
短期内,唯一重要的是将1.50美元翻转(Flip)为支撑位。
这将打开通往1.80美元以上剧烈行情的门户。
所有人都在关注这一关键水平……

衍生品数据支持突破预期,但也伴随清算风险

Dom相信,将1.50美元转化为支撑位可能打开通向1.80美元或更高价位的路径,这代表着约20%的上涨空间。然而,仅仅是暂时突破阻力并不足以确认趋势反转。

除了技术面阻力外,衍生品数据显示,交易者在多个加密货币交易所增加了敞口。据CoinGlass数据,XRP期货未平仓合约价值接近31.8亿美元,24小时交易量约为39.0亿美元。相比之下,同期现货交易量仅为7.17亿美元左右,凸显了衍生品市场的影响力。

具体来看,各大交易所的未平仓合约均有所上升:币安(Binance)上涨3.15%,OKX上涨6.11%,Gate上涨5.76%,MEXC上涨10.17%。

此外,币安的XRP多空账户比率达到2.16,表明更多账户倾向于做多。值得注意的是,该平台顶级交易者账户的多空比率更高,达到2.59,反映出知名参与者对市场的看涨预期。

然而,集中的多头头寸也带来了清算风险。如果XRP无法有效突破阻力位,另一次拒绝可能会迫使杠杆交易者平仓。因此,XRP的下一步走势 firmly 取决于能否持续站稳1.50美元以上。确立该水平有望验证Dom提出的1.80美元目标。

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