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BTC Elon Musk believes AI has the potential to save the U.S. finances, but it still faces significant challenges ahead.
Elon Musk once predicted that artificial intelligence could be a key solution to the U.S. debt crisis. However, this bold prediction is currently facing tough tests, and the current data trends aren’t optimistic.
From “the only solution” to real-world pressures
In an podcast interview in November 2025, Musk said that artificial intelligence and robotics are almost the only ways to solve the U.S. debt crisis. “I think this is the only way to address the U.S. debt crisis, because the current debt level in the U.S. is extremely high,” Musk said at that time. At that time, the total amount of U.S. government debt exceeded $38 trillion, and by August 2026, it had surpassed $40 trillion.
Musk pointed out that interest payments alone already exceed the entire U.S. military budget. Therefore, he believes that artificial intelligence will eventually drive growth in goods and services, thereby leading to deflation. However, he also acknowledged that artificial intelligence hasn’t yet reached a level where it can achieve this goal. His timeline for achieving this is just three years.
Since then, the pressure has continued to increase. By late September, the yield on 10-year U.S. bonds rose to 5.24%, while the yield on 30-year bonds reached 5.56%, the highest level since June 2004.
Economists believe that AI may not be able to solve the crisis alone.
布鲁金斯学会（Brookings Institution）今年7月发布的一项研究指出，尽管由人工智能驱动的增长可能缩小赤字，但在即使是最乐观的情景下，也不太可能完全填补财政缺口。研究人员警告称，人工智能还可能推高政府成本：例如，人均寿命延长可能导致社会保障支出增加，失业潮可能加剧对收入支持的需求，国防开支也可能上升。研究发现，这些效应可能会抵消人工智能对财政预算一半至三分之二的好处。
与此同时，美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特（Scott Bessent）提出了另一条路径。他表示，3%的GDP增长率结合支出约束，可以帮助美国通过经济增长来摆脱债务困境。然而，并非所有经济学家都认同这一观点，部分人认为该设想不切实际。
比特币作为替代方案的崛起
马斯克本人也指出了其计划中的一个潜在漏洞。他曾表示，如果人工智能和机器人增加了产出，政府必须向民众发行美元，否则将面临“大规模通货紧缩”。然而，增发美元的风险在于削弱货币价值。这正是比特币支持者看到的契机，因为比特币的供应量上限为2100万枚。
One of them is Anthony Scaramucci, the founder of SkyBridge Capital. In August this year, he agreed with Peter Schiff’s warnings regarding US debt and inflation. However, his proposed solution involved using Bitcoin instead of gold.
Musk’s relationship with Bitcoin is more complex. In 2021, he claimed to be a “supporter of Bitcoin.” But a few months later, Tesla stopped accepting Bitcoin as a payment method on the grounds of environmental concerns. In 2022, Tesla sold most of its holdings in Bitcoin. Nevertheless, Tesla still holds 11,509 units of Bitcoin, while SpaceX disclosed in its IPO documents that it owns 18,712 units of Bitcoin.
