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比特币触及87,000美元,分析师开启86,200美元做空目标指向79,000美元

2026-09-22 15:50:04
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Bitcoin climbs to US$87,000: Analysts interpret key technical points and potential pullbacks

Bitcoin prices climbed from US$60,000 to US$87,000 as late buyers entered. At the same time,"Doctor Profit" opened a short position around $86,200, while analyst "Darkfost" pointed out the possibility of a two-wave correction towards $74,500.

Doctor Profit opens a short position around $86,200

Analyst "Doctor Profit" said that many traders had expected Bitcoin to bottom out in October. However, the move from $60,000 to $87,000 changed market sentiment and attracted more late-stage buyers. In view of this, he opened a short position around $86,200 and set $79,000 as his first target price.

The core basis for this transaction is Bitcoin's weekly 50-day moving average (MA50). According to "Doctor Profit" analysis, the MA50 once sent a bull market signal to regain its footing on the weekly line. Currently, he expects Bitcoin to re-test that level and confirm its effectiveness as a support level.

If MA50 can effectively hold the support, he plans to close the short position and buy more Bitcoin and Ethereum; if the support fails, he may continue to hold the position and target a lower price. "Doctor Profit" also mentioned that the spot position he established around $60,000 is still retained and has not yet been sold. He defined this short operation as a trading strategy for short-term pullbacks.

Darkfost focuses on Elliot wave shapes

分析师“Darkfost”指出,比特币已接近与当前运行的艾略特波浪形态相关的斐波那契扩展目标位。他的分形分析表明五浪结构可能已经完成,但他也注意到比特币价格仍可能出现超调现象。

此外,“Darkfost”提到相对强弱指数(RSI)可能形成看跌背离。他指出,3小时级别的RSI已进入超买区域,而日线级别的RSI却在比特币价格创出更高高点的同时,形成了较低的高点。

如果当前的上涨行情确认为第一浪,那么“Darkfost”预计将出现第二浪回调。他表示,这一阶段的回调通常触及0.382的斐波那契回撤位。

分析师标记比特币下方的关键低位

根据“Darkfost”的分析,这一回撤目标将把比特币价格推向74,500美元附近。他识别出该水平为50日指数移动平均线(EMA)与200日指数移动平均线(EMA)交汇的区域。

不过,如果是五浪结构的超调,这一支撑水平可能会被推高。“Darkfost”强调,不应将其目前的交易设置单纯视为看空布局,而应结合整体技术形态进行综合判断。

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