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XRP上涨，ETH/BTC测试长期突破

2026-09-24 03:17:56

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ETH/BTC 突破重塑周线结构

ETH/BTC 比率已突破长期下降趋势线，使周线比率处于确认持续相对强度的关键位置。以太坊的突破可能会影响资金轮动信号，但鉴于比特币主导权依然高企，更广泛的山寨币参与度尚未得到证实。最新的 XRP 交易时段显示出更强的动能，价格在回调后回升，并接近日内最强的相对水平。

XRP 正引领市场轮动讨论，而以太坊对比特币的比率正在测试主要突破点。近期的相对强度表明，投资者对替代加密货币及更广泛数字资产市场的兴趣重新升温。

ETH/BTC 周线图显示，价格在下降阻力位和上升支撑位之间经历了长期的压缩整理。价格在这些边界之间移动了多年，直至接近三角形收窄的顶点。最近的突破行动现在将该比率推升至长期运行下降趋势线之上。

图表将此走势标记为“历史性突破”，因为该形态内部已持续十二年。这一标签仅描述了所示的结构，而非确认另一轮_extended_上涨行情。因此，周线收盘变得至关重要，用于确定突破是否保持完整。

The ETH/BTC pair recently broke through a year-long downward trend channel, with a target of 0.03. However, Bitcoin dominance remained stable, preventing confirmation of any broader rotation. Therefore, this ratio provides a signal of relative strength rather than direct evidence of the market-wide altcoin season.

Relevant analysis connects the current Ethereum structure with the early technical settings of XRP. The comparison refers to the previous bottom around $0.28 and the top around $3.37. The article believes that if the relative intensity continues, Ethereum may have a similar rotating effect.

Post-breakthrough retest becomes the core focus

The broader structure also contains a clear retest area, located near the front resistance level. If a breakthrough pattern is formed in this area, it needs to be maintained above to maintain the structure; if it breaks the trend line, it will destroy this technical setting.

At the same time, the asset strengthened in sync with Ethereum during the latest 24-hour trading session. During the cycle shown, prices rose 4.18%, trading close to $1.43. According to chart data, its market value is approximately US$90.46 billion.

The intraday structure started in a flat range, and buying accelerated around noon to drive the rally. The increase crossed the 1% and 2% regions and entered consolidation. Subsequent buying pushed performance to 3%, followed by a sharp but temporary correction.

以太坊在该时段内总体保持了类似的方向，尽管表现有所差异。XRP 在晚间下跌后恢复，并接近该时段最强的相对水平。因此，显示的对比图表明两大主要资产的动能均在改善。

更广泛的山寨币轮动仍未确认

交易活动提供了背景信息，24 小时交易量接近 29.6 亿美元。尽管价格走势积极，但交易量下降了 13.02%。流通供应量约为 628.7 亿枚，相比之下最大供应量为 1000 亿枚。

综合图表将相对强度置于当前市场讨论的中心。以太坊的突破之所以重要，是因为交易者密切关注 ETH/BTC 以获取轮动信号。近期的走势也与 XRP 交易时段中表现出的更强势头相吻合。

尽管如此，在图表能代表更广泛的山寨币转变之前，仍需更广泛的参与度。据报道，尽管 ETH/BTC 强度改善，比特币主导权仍保持在 60% 左右。这使得更广泛的轮动问题取决于以太坊以外的表现。

对于技术结构而言，下一阶段的核心在于突破确认。维持在former阻力位上方将保持图案当前的看涨配置。若回测失败，比率则可能回到之前的压缩区间。

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