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Experts to the XRP community: Clarification Bill may be difficult to implement for the following rea

2026-09-10 04:15:59
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The Senate vote on the CLARITY bill is imminent, and creators in the crypto field express pessimism about the prospects.

The Senate closing debate vote on the CLARITY bill (the Clarification Act) is about to be held on September 15, but cryptocurrency content creator Austin Hilton is not optimistic about this. In a recent video to the XRP community, Hilton expressed apparent frustration with the bill's progress, saying bluntly: "It looks like it's about to die."

According to the rules, the vote requires 60 votes to move forward. At present, all 53 Republican senators have promised to vote in favor, while the Democratic Party requires cross-party support from at least seven members, but it seems that this condition has not yet been met.

As Hilton said on social media: "The XRP family... looks like the CLARITY bill may not pass! This is extremely frustrating!"

Ethics clauses are deadlocked

The core disagreement in the current negotiations lies in ethics clauses. Democrats want to include strict conflict-of-interest recusal rules to cover President Trump and his family. The move is intended to respond to the more than $1 billion in gains Trump made in 2025 through his cryptocurrency projects such as $TRUMP Memin and World Liberty Financial. Although Republican negotiators have revised the text of the ethics clause several times, Democrats still believe that the changes are insufficient.

"If this bill fails, it will never be because of ethical issues," Sen. Cynthia Lummis said publicly. She argued that the changes proposed by Democrats would give future regulators the ability to stifle the crypto industry and called on Democrats to make further compromises. Senator Mike Brown put it more bluntly: "The current situation does not look optimistic."

Hilton's View

Hilton carefully separates political factors from professional perspectives in its analysis. He repeatedly reminded the audience to put down the "political hat" and view the situation as "encrypted citizens." Despite this, his position remains clear. He believes that Democrats 'opposition to Trump has permeated the entire incident and described the current standoff as "the worst political performance."

"I am extremely angry about this," Hilton said. He admitted that the ethical controversy has its practical basis and accepted the fact that Trump did make huge amounts of money from his cryptocurrency project. But the root cause of his frustration lies in the cost it has to the industry. In his view, the CLARITY Act is crucial to maintaining the United States 'competitiveness in the crypto field.

The cost of missing the window

The urgency of the timetable makes the cost of failure particularly high. Loomis has publicly warned that if this Congress fails to pass the bill, the next opportunity to introduce market structure legislation may wait until 2030.

The House has canceled meetings for the last two weeks of September, resulting in a majority evacuation of Washington, D.C. personnel on September 17. If the Senate passes the amended bill, the House will have to approve the amendments, but there will not be enough people present to review it by then.

Facing the 2030 timeline, Hilton reacted strongly. "Why did we lose three and a half years, or even close to four years, on this?" he asked. He described the delay as huge damage to the entire crypto ecosystem.

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