关键亮点
SpaceX 在摩根士丹利(JPMorgan)的社交媒体热度指数中位列第四,紧随 Lithium Americas、Boyd Gaming 和 Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) 之后。
周四早盘,SPCX 股价下跌 4%,仍低于其 135 美元的初始公开发行价(IPO)14%。
该公司人工智能部门在最近一个季度的资本支出达到 150 亿美元,较此前的 70 亿美元翻倍以上。
这家航空航天公司计划于 9 月 28 日进行星舰(Starship)第 14 次试飞,这标志着其首次尝试轨道任务。
分析指出:社交媒体关注度与做空活动无关联
摩根士丹利的分析显示,投资者在社交媒体上的关注度与做空活动之间不存在相关性。
周四早盘时段,SPCX 股价下跌约 4%,徘徊在 148 美元附近。这一下跌发生在摩根士丹利分析师 Arun Jain 将该航空航天制造商列为社交媒体平台上讨论最激烈的股票之一之后。
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX)
由埃隆·马斯克领导的企业在摩根士丹利的社交热度指数中占据第四位,排在 Lithium Americas、Boyd Gaming 和 Advanced Micro Devices 之后。前十名单中的其余公司包括 Insight Digital Partners II、Rocket Lab、Meta Platforms、Kodiak AI、Atlas Energy Solutions 和 Micron Technology。
This list brings together diverse companies. Market values vary widely in the index, ranging from about $200 million to SpaceX's valuation of as high as $2 trillion, with industries spanning energy infrastructure to semiconductor manufacturing.
Tesla founder projects have always attracted a lot of attention, and Morgan Stanley's analysis confirms this pattern. Any business associated with the billionaire entrepreneur seems destined to gain prominence on social media.
Interpreting social media popularity rankings
According to Jain's research, discussions on social platforms have little to do with the level of short positions-the proportion of shares borrowed by bearish investors with expectations of falling prices. For example, Insight Digital has very little short activity, while Atlas Energy faces short positions in excess of 30% of its tradable shares.
The average increase of the ten companies on the list was about 6% in the previous month, significantly better than the S & P 500's weak growth of less than 1%. However, the performance of individual stocks varied widely. During that period, AMD surged 34%, while Kodiak fell 21%.
The conclusion for market participants is clear: Higher social media discussions generally produce higher volatility rather than predictable price movements.
SPCX's trading performance reveals a more challenging narrative
尽管社交媒体关注度很高,但 SPCX 的交易表现揭示了更为复杂的情况。这家航空航天巨头在 2025 年初完成了历史上最大的首次公开募股(IPO),筹集超过 850 亿美元,并以万亿美元市值起步,使其立即与英伟达(Nvidia)和亚马逊(Amazon)等科技巨头并列。
自那次里程碑式的亮相以来,投资者的热情有所降温。该股开盘价为 150 美元,周四的估值比开盘价低约 3%,比最初 IPO 定价 135 美元低 14%。
资本投资推动未来扩张
公司通过三个相互关联的部门运营:运载火箭、星链(Starlink)卫星通信以及构建轨道数据基础设施的人工智能部门。这些部门相互依赖,且都需要大量的资本投入。
仅人工智能业务就在最近一个季度消耗了 150 亿美元的资本支出。这一数字是上一季度 70 亿美元支出的两倍多,远远超过十二个月前同期部署的约 7 亿美元。
收入增长尚未跟上激进的支出轨迹。该人工智能部门在最近一个季度产生了 20 亿美元的收入,而公司总收入为 78 亿美元。加速的资本部署扩大了 SpaceX 的运营亏损。
关于火箭业务,SpaceX 报告称,8 月完成的两项成功的星舰 V3 测试任务使该项目具备了完全可重复使用的能力。公司已将 9 月 28 日定为星舰的第 14 次飞行,这是其首次围绕地球的完整轨道任务。
此次即将进行的发射将运送旨在增强平台传输能力的星链 V3 卫星。在周四交易时段之前,标普 500 期货指数下跌 0.5%,道琼斯期货指数下跌 0.3%,为 SPCX 的价格变动提供了较为低迷的市场背景。

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