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Cardano price forecast: ADA surged 11% and open interest surged 15%

2026-10-05 20:16:53
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ADA 价格突破关键阻力位,$0.30 成为下一个主要测试目标

10 月 5 日,ADA 交易价格徘徊在 0.273 美元附近,盘中最高触及约 0.2734 美元,24 小时交易量接近 10 亿美元。这一涨幅显著超越了更广泛的加密货币市场,推动 Cardano 稳固地站上 0.26 美元关口,该区域此前曾多次遏制近期的复苏尝试。

生态系统利好与机构发展助推行情

此次上涨紧随数周的生态系统公告之后。Cardano 基金会最近确认了两个由 Petrobras(巴西国家石油公司)参与的新项目,利用 Cardano 技术验证航空燃料和可再生柴油的可持续性数据,从而深化了与这家巴西能源巨头的既有合作关系。

此外,机构层面的发展也为市场增添了信心,包括 Fireblocks 支持 Cardano 原生代币,以及早期整合 x402 协议,旨在实现由人工智能代理进行的支付。

技术分析:$0.30 成为下一个重要目标

随着 ADA 突破约 0.263 美元的关键点位,短期技术面进一步走强。FXStreet 分析师 Vishal Dixit 指出,Cardano 期货未平仓合约在 24 小时内增加了约 15%,而正向资金费率表明交易者正在建立看涨头寸。他的技术模型显示,如果 ADA 确认突破,0.30 美元将是下一个主要的上行目标。

Another market view holds that important continuing support is around $0.2679, followed by resistance around $0.275. A daily close above these levels would enhance the credibility of moving towards the US$0.28 - 0.30 range; conversely, a fall below approximately US$0.258 could weaken the effectiveness of a breakthrough.

Coinpaper has previously pointed out that if the ADA can recover the US$0.25 - 0.27 range, the US$0.30 area will become the next key liquidity cluster.

Concerns behind the rally: Chain activity lags

Despite the surge in ADA prices, there is a strong counter-argument from Cardano itself that cannot be ignored: activity on decentralized exchanges (DEX) has weakened. Trading volume on Cardano DEX fell to approximately $5.72 million on October 3, indicating that the price increase has not been matched by a corresponding increase in on-chain trading activity.

This divergence makes positioning futures positions particularly important. Rising open interest can amplify upward momentum, but can also quickly reverse if a breakthrough fails.

However, Cardano's online strength has been strengthened since governance setbacks earlier this year that affected market sentiment.

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