Stellar price forecast: XLM faces its biggest test in history after RWA trading volume exceeded US$3

XLM prices are currently sending contradictory signals. Stellar has achieved huge growth in real-world assets (RWA), one of the fastest-growing areas of cryptocurrency, but at the same time, funds from its DeFi ecosystem continue to flow out.

Stellar's RWA growth cannot be ignored

Data from ALLINCRYPTO (quoted from Messari) shows that Stellar's real-world asset transfers reached US$313 billion in 30 days. In just one month, this number has skyrocketed by an astonishing 81000%. Such amazing data makes people wonder: Is Stellar Coin becoming a more powerful force in the field of tokenization? At the same time, BSCN pointed out that Stellar's total locked amount (TVL) is moving in the opposite direction. TVL plunged from more than $247 million on August 26 to approximately $98 million a day later, and then fell further to approximately $82.8 million. So the simple big question is: Which trend has the greater impact on XLM prices?

The strongest support for XLM prices comes from the performance of real-world asset markets. Messari data shared by ALLINCRYPTO shows that Stellar has processed US$313 billion in RWA transfers in the past 30 days. Stellar's 30-day RWA transfer volume soared nearly 81,000% in January. Transfers surged to $313 billion (@MSBIntel), another indicator that @StellarOrg is no longer just competing... As RWA activity accelerates on $XLM, it is moving towards the "President's Hill" of cryptocurrencies. pic.twitter.com/0SH9hg7MHa---ALLINCRYPTO (@RealAllinCrypto) August 28, 2026. The nearly 81,000% increase in one month is hard to ignore, especially as tokenized assets are becoming one of the biggest themes in the entire cryptocurrency industry. Stellar Coin has always focused on payments and asset transfers, so the growth of tokenized assets is just right for its core use. The latest data shows a significant increase in activity online, which is exactly what investors want to see when assessing long-term adoption rates. If this trend continues, Stellar may consolidate its position in the leading blockchain network vying for growing market share of tokenized assets.

But TVL tells a different story

The challenge for XLM prices is that not all indicators are moving in the right direction. BSCN reported that the total locked volume of Stellar coins dropped from more than $247 million to $98 million in just 24 hours. The figure then slipped further to approximately $82.8 million. StellarOrg's TVL continues to fall... According to DefiLlama,@StellarOrg's total locked position has collapsed dramatically. In one day, August 26 - 27, the TVL of $XLM plunged 60% from more than $247 million to just $98 million. This decline seems to be... pic.twitter.com/S1scbn7P6v-BSCN (@BSCNews) August 29, 2026. TVL tracks the amount of capital deposited in the DeFi protocol. When that number falls, it usually means that users are withdrawing liquidity or moving money elsewhere. This makes an interesting contrast: Stellar trading activity is rising rapidly, but DeFi participation is declining. Investors now need to weigh two very different data points to assess online health.

XLM prices are beginning to come to life

We checked the XLM chart and the token is currently trading at approximately US$0.177, having previously fallen back from its recent high of around US$0.23. The technical side is becoming more proactive. The RSI indicator stands at 37.45, indicating that XLM prices are approaching the oversold area. Source: TradingView. More importantly, the indicator flashed three bullish divergence signals. So while prices are still hovering at the bottom of the range, momentum is quietly improving. The Ultimate Oscillator has also been rising and currently stands at 40.44, further reinforcing the view that selling pressure may be receding. For buyers, the first resistance level is $0.18. Break through this position and you will see $0.19, then the psychological barrier of $0.20, then $0.21. Support is at $0.17, with deeper support at $0.16 and $0.15 if conditions deteriorate.

Where may XLM prices go next?

XLM still needs to prove itself before we can declare a complete reversal of trend, but the chart is starting to tilt towards the bulls. As long as it stays above $0.17, the bullish divergence pattern remains in effect. A breakthrough of $0.18 would be a major development and could open the door to a rise to $0.19 or even $0.20. Currently, Stellar is in a unique position: real-world asset activity is exploding, TVL is falling, and XLM prices are trying to bottom out. Which of these trends ultimately wins may determine the next step for Stellar Coin.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are real-world assets (RWAs) on Stellar coins? Real-world assets are tokenized versions of traditional assets such as stocks, bonds, real estate or other financial instruments. Stellar Coin has become one of the blockchain networks that facilitates the transfer and settlement of these assets on the chain.

Can Stellar's RWA growth drive XLM prices higher? It's possible. Strong growth in tokenized asset activity may attract more users, developers and institutions to join the network. If this growth continues and market sentiment improves, it may provide support for XLM prices.