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XRP 美联储加息后，比特币、以太坊与XRP成功避免再度暴跌
随着美联储自2023年以来首次上调利率，比特币（Bitcoin）、以太坊（Ethereum）和瑞波币（XRP）均避免了另一轮重大崩盘。美联储将基准利率上调25个基点至3.75%-4.00%，理由是尽管经济增长持续，但通胀依然顽固。
在决议公布后，比特币价格一度走高，随后稳定在76,000美元左右；以太坊交易价格接近2,400美元，而XRP则维持在1.28美元附近。这种相对平静的市场反应，出现在加密资产经历极其艰难的一周之后。此前，《CLARITY法案》的失败导致比特币跌破75,000美元，并引发了新一轮的杠杆清算潮。
为何比特币未在美联储加息后崩溃？
最大的原因在于“预期”。在市场会议之前，投资者早已开始定价四分之一的加息幅度，这大大降低了美联储实际宣布加息时的冲击感。
此外，在公告发布前，由于交易者应对监管不确定性、交易所交易基金（ETF）资金流出以及美国国债收益率上升等多重压力，比特币已经大幅下跌。这一现象符合更广泛的模式：当美联储政策预期突然改变时，比特币会对利率和流动性的变化做出剧烈反应。
加密市场此前已遭受重创
The Fed's decision came after a massive deleveraging of the crypto market. In the past 24 hours, more than $455 million in leveraged positions have been liquidated, while the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has experienced a net outflow of approximately $450 million. The Ethereum ETF also recorded significant redemptions.
The failure of the CLARITY Act vote exacerbated market pressures, and a Senate setback led to the liquidation of $300 million of long positions in the short term. This means that much of the speculative bubble has been squeezed out before Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh speaks.
The next interest rate hike becomes greater suspense
For Bitcoin, a more important signal may come from the future. New Fed forecasts show that 16 of 18 policymakers expect at least one more rate hike (25 basis points each time) before the end of 2026.
A high interest rate environment may pose challenges for crypto assets. It would make yields on bonds and cash more attractive, while tightening financial conditions, potentially reducing demand for risky assets. The same pressure is hitting traditional markets, with a 5% U.S. Treasury yield increasingly becoming an important risk factor for stocks and other speculative assets.
The US$75,000 mark is in focus again
Currently,$75,000 remains a key price point worthy of close attention. After experiencing the double test of the CLARITY Act setback and the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, Bitcoin was able to hold on to the area, indicating that sellers have not yet forced further significant market breaks. However, Bitcoin still needs to break through higher resistance levels before its prospects can be substantially improved.
Ethereum and XRP face similar challenges. Before entering the Fed meeting, these two major assets appeared weak due to the overall sell-off, and their subsequent trends increasingly relied on Bitcoin's performance, U.S. Treasury yields and expectations for the Fed's next decision.
Overall, the crypto market survived Wednesday's interest rate increase without an immediate meltdown.
