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SHIB 柴犬币链上活动激增，但价格承压
柴犬币（SHIB）近期在链上活动方面出现了显著增长，关键网络指标增加了16亿枚代币，地址活跃度飙升了216%。尽管网络参与度突然大幅上升，但SHIB的价格走势却呈现出更为谨慎的局面，反映出技术面疲软以及维持上涨动能的持续挑战。
网络爆发未能提振价格
此次网络活动的激增代表了Shiba Inu生态系统的重要动态。然而，历史模式表明，链上交易的突然激增并不总能转化为SHIB的长期价格上涨。虽然网络操作三位数的增长可能支撑看涨情绪，但价格图表缺乏确认信号则揭示了不同的故事。
目前，SHIB交易价格接近0.00000485美元，此前未能突破0.00000520至0.00000530美元的阻力区间。近期试图推高价格的尝试均在此水平遭遇一致拒绝，显示出强劲的上方阻力。此前，0.00000500至0.00000515美元区间曾作为动态支撑位，但价格现已跌破这些短期和中期移动平均线，使其成为任何上行尝试的新障碍。
Small Dictionary: On-chain indicators are statistics or data points recorded directly on the blockchain, such as transaction volume, active addresses, and token flow. Analysts use these indicators to assess overall online health and investor sentiment.
Technical signals remain bearish
From a technical perspective, SHIB still faces challenges. In August, the token rebounded to around $0.00000620 after recovering from approximately $0.000410 in July, but each breakthrough failed to establish a lasting trend. The September price rebound also fell short of expectations, stagnating at $0.0000550 and reaching a higher point lower than the previous surge.
The long-term moving average near $0.0000565 is well above current prices, supporting the overall bearish structure. In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has slipped below the neutral 50 level, indicating that momentum is weakening. This combination reflects the lack of unfavorable moving averages and the weakening of trends.
The key area to pay attention to is US$0.0000480, because once a loss occurs, it may cause SHIB to fall to the next support range of US$0.0000460 to US$0.00000440. If the decline widens further, the $0.0000410 near the July low could become relevant again.
Recovery depends on key price levels
SHIB needs to climb back above US$0.0000500 to US$0.0000515 and consolidate that position to signal an improvement in the price structure. A breakthrough of $0.0000550 would provide stronger evidence of potential recovery and enhance confidence in a meaningful trend reversal.
Despite the impressive 216% surge in online activity and the impressive addition of 1.6 billion tokens in the latest on-chain indicators, these developments have not yet alleviated SHIB's bearish price outlook. Analysts are still looking for new signs of buying interest to support a continued recovery.
Overall, online activity around SHIB surged by 216%, but its price remained under pressure amid resistance around $0.0000520 and was in a weak position below the key technical average.
