Analysis of Growth in Filecoin Open Interest Positions
Filecoin (FIL)'s open interest positions increased by 48% in U.S. dollars, but only increased by 25% in FIL tokens. This data shows that rising prices are the main factor driving the increase in open positions.
Sanitation data shows that as of 06:00 UTC on September 14, Filecoin's open contract positions were 128.8 million FILs, higher than the daily record of 119.6 million FILs on September 13. During this period, FIL prices briefly hit the $1.00-$1.03 range, before falling back to around $0.805. Currently, FIL prices are still below its 50-day moving average, but above its 200-day moving average.
Dollar denominated positions rise as FIL prices rise
According to a report from Sanitation Intelligence, Filecoin's open contract positions rose sharply between September 12 and September 13. Data showed that open interest positions denominated in US dollars climbed 48% to US$11.39 million, while positions denominated in FIL increased 18%. When measured by the number of FIL tokens, open interest positions increased by 25%. This suggests that new market exposure accounted for only part of the overall increase, with the rest mainly driven by price revaluation.
Santiment指出,以美元计价的未平仓合约持仓量从9月12日的7,660万美元增至9月13日的1.139亿美元。然而,在同一时期,FIL的价格也上涨了约18%。因此,Santiment改用FIL而非美元来比较数据,以更准确地反映市场实际敞口的变化。以FIL计价的未平仓合约持仓量从9,550万枚增至1.196亿枚,增幅约为25%。Santiment表示,总体增长中约有半数来自资产价值的重估,剩余的增长部分则代表了此前两天并不存在的新增市场敞口。

未平仓合约持仓量创出阶段性高点
每日统计数据并未完全捕捉到该期间内以代币计价的最高未平仓合约持仓量。Santiment记录显示,9月14日UTC时间06:00时,未平仓合约持仓量达到1.288亿枚FIL。这一水平高于9月13日记录的1.196亿枚FIL。
值得注意的是,在市场敞口持续上升的同时,以代币计价的增幅小于以美元计价的增幅。
FIL在九月反弹后出现回调
在此次回调之前,FIL已从8月的低点恢复。该代币价格在5月时高于$1.20,但在8月期间跌至$0.70以下,最低触及约$0.61至$0.62。从8月下旬开始,FIL形成了更高的低点,并成功突破$0.75区域。
当价格突破$0.90后,涨势加速,并短暂触及$1.00至$1.03区间。然而,伴随交易量激增的是大量的抛售行为,导致FIL价格回落至约$0.805。当前交易量维持在1.6855亿FIL附近。
技术面上,FIL的50日移动平均线位于$0.847,200日移动平均线位于$0.757。目前FIL的交易价格低于50日均线,但高于200日均线。 immediate support(即时支撑位)位于$0.80附近,其次是$0.757以及$0.69至$0.70区域。

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