比特币价格波动幅度有多大?
在经历了一轮自协调世界时(UTC)11:30左右开始的急剧垂直拉升后,比特币(BTC)目前交易价格为84,374美元。前一交易日收盘价为81,152美元,这意味着比特币当日上涨约4%,并突破了自春季以来反复拒绝买盘的阻力天花板。比特币曾在2026年初突破121,000美元的高点,随后在整个夏季缓慢回落至65,000美元区间。因此,这轮行情属于具备进一步上行空间的复苏阶段,而非最终的顶部爆发。

BTC兑美元图表
为何比特币此时突破?
行情的燃料已在周五备好。美联储加息25个基点,但对其未来路径的预期比市场担忧的更为温和,从而推动风险资产价格上涨。比特币涨幅超过6%,超过4.45亿美元的加密货币空头头寸被清算,其中仅比特币仓位就占逾2.3亿美元。这清除了区间下方的空头势力。当今日价格推升至82,000美元上方的薄弱区域时,几乎已无剩余阻力来吸收卖压。
ETF买家是否支持了比特币的涨势?
Yes, this is the difference between this round of market and purely leveraged squeeze market. The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF absorbed a total of $593 million on Thursday and Friday, completely reversing the outflow of funds at the beginning of the week. Funding rates remain low, indicating that demand is driven by spot rather than overheated leverage. This is a real buying entry, not just a liquidated short.
Analysis of Bitcoin Price Trend: What Does the Chart reveal?
Before the breakthrough, the technical side had turned bullish. Bitcoin's 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day moving average for the first time in 2026, forming a classic "golden cross". At the same time, prices regained the "real market average" defined by Glassnode (approximately $76,660) and the corporate treasury cost benchmark (approximately $80,421). In short, the average corporate Bitcoin buyer is back in profit, removing a potential wall of selling pressure.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is the next target?
US$85,000. Glassnode labels it as the ETF cost benchmark, the average entry price for spot ETF buyers, which is also the last major upper resistance level before the market opens up upside. Analysts have previously pointed out that $84,100 and $85,000 are key weekly resistance levels, and if they can effectively stabilize above $85,000, they will point to the $88,000 to $90,000 range. Conversely, if it falls below US$77,500, the breakthrough will be invalid.

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