Bitcoin exceeded the US$85,000 mark for the first time, and short clearing accelerated its rebound
On Monday, Bitcoin (BTC) prices climbed above US$85,000 for the first time since January this year. About $648 million in short forced liquidations further boosted the rally.
Core Points
- Bitcoin hit a high of $85,000 on Monday, setting a record in eight months.
- Short positions accounted for approximately US$648 million of the total daily liquidation volume of approximately US$750 million.
- On-chain wallet activity remained stable, while derivatives holdings surged significantly.
Bitcoin short squeeze
On Monday, Bitcoin briefly broke through the $85,000 mark, reaching its highest point in eight months, in sharp contrast to the price level defended the previous week. In early European trading, Bitcoin traded at US$84,984, up 5.4% in 24 hours, significantly higher than the high of US$82,284 set on September 4. The trend broke out of the price range that has suppressed every attempt at a rally since the spring and returned to near the average cost benchmark for U.S. spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which is about $82,225.
空头交易者承担了大部分损失。数据显示,过去24小时内杠杆加密资产清算总额约为7.5亿美元,其中空头仓位占比高达6.48亿美元。仅比特币相关仓位就占了3.607亿美元。其中最大的一笔单笔订单为币安(Binance)上价值1,130万美元的永续合约持仓,同期约有13.7万名交易者被强制平仓。尽管大量仓位被清算,但未平仓合约仍上升7.59%至1,560亿美元,交易量也攀升39%至2,240亿美元,这表明新的投机资金正在取代那些被迫退出的资金。
Glassnode加速区域分析
链上数据分析公司Glassnode将83,000美元至86,000美元的区域标记为潜在的“加速区”,因为该区域聚集了大量待触发的空头头寸。如果价格回落,这一密集的头寸集群也可能加剧下跌趋势。
网络活动的数据则呈现出更为平静的景象。Santiment的数据显示,从7月24日至9月20日,新增及活跃比特币地址数量一直维持在中位数水平附近,即便在此期间价格已大幅走高。在过去两个月的十个交易日中,新增钱包的数量甚至超过了9月18日 breakout 会话时的水平,当时未平仓合约曾激增约9%。
比特币复苏时间线
Galaxy公司全球研究主管Alex Thorn指出,比特币首次在45周内于周线收盘站上50周移动平均线,这是一个熊市底部可能已经过去的信号。该收盘价报81,159美元,略高于约78,786美元的均值水平。
此次反弹速度相当迅速。比特币曾在9月15日交易于75,000美元附近,并于周五收复80,000美元关口。过去35天内累计涨幅约29%,全年跌幅不足3%。尽管如此,其价格仍比2025年10月创下的约126,000美元历史高点低约32.5%,且此后一直未能对该峰值构成实质性的挑战威胁。

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