在Bitwise关联抛售之后，Hyperliquid能否恢复？

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: On-Chain News and Key Technical Analysis

After a strong rebound from resistance, Hyperliquid's price forecast follows, and now a new on-chain news adds another layer of complexity to the story. Just as HYPE retreated significantly from key levels, a large Bitwise ETF wallet moved a large number of tokens to exchanges, a combination that often kept traders glued to charts. The following is a comprehensive analysis of the subsequent trend of HYPE.

HYPE Today's Quotes: Real-time Data and 24-Hour Changes

As of this writing, Hyperliquid was trading at approximately US$79.077, and on the Binance 1-hour HYPE/USDT chart, prices remained below the uptrend line for the entire day. At $79.127, HYPE prices fell 0.91% in the past 24 hours, CoinGlass data showed, a mild correction that coincided with a sharp decline in prices after hitting resistance.

The macro background supporting this Hyperliquid price forecast remains strong. The market value is close to US$19.99 billion, and Open Interest is approximately US$2.91 billion, indicating that there are a large number of leveraged positions around current prices. Futures volume in the past 24 hours was close to US$2.51 billion, while spot volume was approximately US$141.35 million, a gap that suggests derivatives traders are the main drivers of recent activity. The circulation supply is 251.69 million HYPE units, and the total supply and maximum supply are both 951.73 million units, which means that about one-quarter of the total supply of Hyperliquid is currently in circulation.

Data source: CoinGlass, Hyperliquid Data Snapshot, September 15, 2026.

Today's Hyperliquid News: Bitwise transfers $6.7 million worth of HYPE

The current Hyperliquid news cycle focuses on a post posted by Onchain Lens, which states that Bitwise's BHYP ETF wallet deposited 84,32 million HYPEs into Coinbase about six hours before the posting, The value is close to $6.71 million. Such transfers are often seen as a precursor to a sell-off. The on-chain tracker pointed out that this was not an isolated incident and that the same wallet cluster also showed several other transfers to Coinbase and Hyperliquid system addresses in the past few days.

This kind of Hyperliquid news today is critical to emotions, as wallets associated with ETFs move tokens to exchanges, often closely watched as an early signal of an institution's profit-taking or rebalancing. Although it is unclear whether this particular transfer will actually be sold on the open market or will simply be repositioned, the headline alone adds a layer of caution to the already fragile rebound attempt on the chart and directly fits into the broader Hyperliquid trend analysis picture.

Quick summary

• Current market price (CMP): 79.077
• 1-hour trigger level: Breakthroughs and closes above 82.488
• 1-hour failure level: broke below 76.554
• Data deadline: September 15, 2026, approximately UTC+5:30 10:42
• Risk warning: This is a short 1-hour setting, so confirmation requires a full hourly close, rather than just a rapid crossing of the shadow of any level; Any movement beyond the trigger point is a directional area, not an exact number.

HYPE Technical Forecast: Trend Line Test after a Strong Rounce

Looking at the HYPE/USDT Perpetual Contract on Binance charts, Hyperliquid recently encountered resistance at 82.488 and fell sharply, erasing most of its previous gains on several K-lines.& lt;>This rapid rebound from levels that previously served as resistance tends to quickly wash out short-term bulls, and this is what happens here.

Since that decline, HYPE has found support along an uptrend line that triggered aggressive upward movement during the first early backtest of the same structure. The current price is right on this trend line, effectively testing whether this level can hold again after it has proven its effectiveness once. A trend line that has already brought a strong rally will have more credibility in the second test because it points to real buying interest rather than a random line drawn on the chart.

Kinetic energy readings from the chart also provide some background information. The oscillator is located near 41.01, below the midpoint, although there was a bullish signal earlier in the same leg of recovery this time. Readings below the midpoint combined with the recent strong rally suggest that momentum has cooled from levels seen during the rally, which is why both Hyperliquid technical analysis and HYPE technical analysis see a clear one-hour close above 82.488 as a true confirmation point, rather than just a return to the trend line.

如果 HYPE 守住该趋势线并在1小时图上突破并收于 82.488 上方，此 HYPE 价格预测 favor 向 87.032 移动作为下一个阻力区，如果动能在此基础上持续 buildup，89.720 将成为进一步的目标，从而加强未来几个交易时段更广泛的 HYPE 预测。目前 Bitwise 转移带来的新鲜卖压使得 82.488 的清晰收复变得更有意义，因为它将显示买家吸收了这些供应，而不是屈服于它。

在下行方面，如果趋势线破裂且 HYPE 收盘低于 76.554，则表明这次二次回测失败，接下来需要关注的支撑位将是 74.885，由于该水平距离当前范围足够近，考虑到更广泛的结构，它仍应吸引一些买盘兴趣。下方的完整 HYPE 目标列表将这些小时级别及其与当前价格的距离进行了分解。

Hyperliquid 价格预测：支撑与阻力水平

水平类型价格距 CMP 的距离主要阻力89.720+13.5%阻力 287.032+10.1%突破触发82.488+4.3%当前价格79.077—崩溃触发76.554-3.2%支撑 (反弹区)74.885-5.3% Hyperliquid 的牛市、基准和熊市情景

牛市情景：HYPE held on to the trend line and closed above 82.488 on the 1-hour chart, showing that buyers were able to absorb recent Bitwise-related selling pressure and regain control of the short-term structure. If this happens, this Hyperliquid price outlook could realistically extend to 87.032, with 89.720 becoming a further target if the movement maintains strong follow-up momentum.

Baseline scenario: HYPE fluctuated between 76.554 and 82.488, while the market digested the strong rebound from resistance and on-chain sales headlines, waiting to either confirm the recovery of 82.488 or clearly break below the trend line support.

Bear market scenario: If 76.554 falls below the close, it means that the trend line fails to test back, and the previous rebound is more like a short-term easing exercise than a real continuation. In this case, 74.885 becomes the level that needs attention. The area is close enough to the current range that there is a reasonable chance that bargain-hunting buyers will re-intervene.

Risks of this HYPE price outlook

这是一个1小时时间框架的设置，因此它可能在数小时内展开或失效，而不是数天，因此应以这种程度的短期谨慎来处理。Bitwise 的转移目前仅是链上存款，而非公开市场上确认的抛售，因此如果代币实际上未被售出，压力可能会迅速缓解。更广泛的加密货币市场状况，包括比特币自身的短期方向和整体风险偏好，很容易覆盖像这样看起来清晰的山寨币设置，无论趋势线到目前为止表现如何良好。

关键术语词汇表

上升通道趋势线 (Ascending trendline)： 连接一系列更高低点的向上倾斜线，通常在价格明确突破之前充当支撑位。

1小时收盘 (1-hour close)： 每小时蜡烛结束时的最终价格，用于短期图表以确认突破或崩溃是真实的，而非暂时的影线。

未平仓合约 (Open interest)： 在给定时间尚未结算的衍生合约总数。

回测 (Retest)： 向已打破或先前测试过的水平移动的举动，以检查其是否继续充当支撑或阻力。

ETF 钱包转账 (ETF wallet transfer)： 从基金的持仓钱包到交易所的代币移动，通常被密切关注作为潜在抛售的早期信号。

免责声明

本文仅供参考，不应被视为财务建议。文中分享的 Hyperliquid 价格预测数据、HYPE 价格目标水平以及所有技术分析均基于撰写时的图表模式和公开可用数据。加密货币市场波动性极高，价格可能会在没有警告的情况下剧烈向任何方向移动。在进行涉及 HYPE 或任何其他数字资产的任何投资决策之前，请务必自行研究并咨询合格的财务顾问。