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Ethereum's first breakthrough since 2016: Ready to explode?

2026-09-22 21:45:12
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Ethereum broke through the US$2500 resistance level, setting its strongest third-quarter performance since 2016.

Ethereum (ETH) successfully broke through the long-term insurmountable key resistance level of US$2500 and became one of the high-profile assets in the cryptocurrency market. In the past 24 hours, ETH prices have risen 5.7% to hit $2716 and once again attracted market attention with its strong performance in the third quarter. According to CoinGlass, Ethereum has added 67.57% in the third quarter of 2026 so far, setting its strongest quarterly performance since 2016.

Currently, investors are focusing on whether US$2500 can be transformed into lasting support and whether ETH prices can start a new round of rise and break through the US$3000 mark.

Strongest third quarter market since 2016

Ethereum's recent price rise marks a major turning point after its weak performance at the beginning of the year. Previously, ETH fell by approximately 29% and 25% respectively in the first quarter and second quarter of 2026, showing negative growth for two consecutive quarters. However, the situation changed significantly in the third quarter. Data showed that ETH has risen 67.57% so far in the third quarter, a performance that gave it its strongest third quarter since 2016.

From a technical perspective, ETH breaking through the US$2500 resistance level is an important signal. If this position can be firmly transformed into a support level, it will become a key indicator for judging whether the current upward trend continues.

Pledge withdrawal and exchange reserves show divergence signals

Despite the strong price trend, Ethereum's pledge data sends a different signal. The Ethereum validator withdrawal queue has reached 132,832 ETH, the highest level in nearly three months. The increase in exit queues suggests that more verifiers are waiting to withdraw their pledged ETH. The market is worried that once these locked Ethereum are released and entered the market, it may increase selling pressure.

At the same time, exchange reserve data took on a different picture. According to Alphractal data, Bitcoin's exchange reserves are rising, while Ethereum's reserves are declining. The decline in the number of ETH on exchanges suggests that the supply of Ethereum directly available for sale may be shrinking in the short term.

Alphractal founder and CEO Joao Wedson pointed out that Bitcoin and Ethereum are currently showing very different trends in exchange reserves.

US$2500 becomes a key decision-making area for ETH

The US$2500 level is regarded as a critical area for Ethereum to continue its gains. If this price level, which is a long-term resistance level, can be firmly turned into a support level, it will help ETH maintain its current upward momentum. Technical indicators have also attracted much attention: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above neutral, and the Bollinger Band pattern also shows that current price momentum remains strong.

Conversely, if ETH falls back below $2500, selling pressure may intensify. Therefore, whether this area can be held in future price movements will become a decisive factor.

Outlook: If we stand firm at US$2500, the target will look at US$3,200 - 3,600

如果以太坊能够确实在2500美元上方站稳,投资者的关注点可能会转向更高的价格区间。部分分析师和投资者认为,若当前动量得以维持,ETH有望测试3200至3600美元的区域。然而,实现这一情景的前提是以太坊必须保持现有的上涨结构。

值得注意的是,质押退出规模、交易所储备变化、比特币的表现以及整体市场的风险偏好,都将是影响ETH未来方向的重要因素。

总结:市场紧盯2500美元支撑有效性

以太坊在2026年第三季度实现超过67%的涨幅,显示出其在经历上半年疲软后显著的复苏态势。突破2500美元阻力位在技术面上具有重要意义。接下来的关键在于观察该价位能否成功转化为支撑位。若ETH能稳守此区域并维持上涨动量,3200美元和3600美元的目标位或将重新进入视野。相反,若质押退出加速且2500美元支撑失守,则可能重新引发以太坊的抛售压力。

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