比特币在84,200美元附近交易
经历了一周剧烈的波动后,比特币(BTC)目前在84,200美元附近交易。此前价格曾突破87,000美元关口,但随后上涨动能有所减弱。尽管过去七天内比特币累计涨幅约为3.8%,但当前的市场格局已发生变化。在美国现货比特币ETF连续四个交易日出现强劲资金流入后,最新的Farside数据显示,9月25日出现了1,180万美元的净流出。虽然这一数字与9月21日至9月24日期间超过22亿美元的资金流入相比显得微不足道,但它确实终结了近期的连续流入态势。
这给比特币留下了一个直接的问题:在没有之前推动反弹的ETF资金助力下,价格能否继续走高?
85,000-87,000美元仍是主要阻力
比特币近期高点接近87,300美元,仍然是多头未能收复的关键水平。今天日内比特币最高触及约85,200美元,但一旦价格进入85,000美元中高位区间,便反复遭遇挣扎。目前的技术分析也指出,85,000美元附近存在沉重的抛压,而更广泛的85,000-87,300美元区域仍是即时的阻力区。
Coinpaper最近的比特币价格展望同样指出了这一结构:83,000-84,000美元为近期支撑位,而87,300美元则是需要突破的关键水平,以重新将90,000美元的目标纳入视野。
ETF需求降温,但并未消失
The latest outflow data has not erased the institutional demand that has driven recent markets. Farside data shows that Bitcoin ETF attracted the following funds:
- September 21: US$999 million
- September 22: US$714.7 million
- September 23: US$346.9 million
- September 24:$190.7 million
Given the previously reported wave of more than a billion dollars in inflows, the more important question now is whether Bitcoin can hold on to its gains as capital flows normalize.
If Bitcoin can stay above US$83,000 -84,000 and close strongly above US$87,300, the possibility of another hit US$90,000 will increase significantly.

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