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Zcash价格延续涨势,分析师关注下一个目标价位1800美元

2026-09-18 08:28:28
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Zcash 价格获得动能,NU7 投票支持更快速出块

随着分析师 Ali Charts 将 $1,800 设定为首个目标价位,且市场动能保持强劲,Zcash 的价格继续大幅上涨。近 240 万张可投票的 ZEC 参与了 NU7 投票,其中 99.9% 支持将目标出块时间缩短至 25 秒。Paradigm 联合创始人 Matt Huang 披露该投资公司持有 ZEC,为此次最新一轮涨势增添了机构因素。

尽管技术面动能依然强劲,但 9 月 17 日 14 日相对强弱指数(RSI)突破 70,显示出市场条件日益超买。Zcash 价格在 9 月持续强劲反弹,这一专注于隐私的代币正迈向新的周期高点。

NU7 治理投票推动网络升级

最近的反弹与 Zcash 持有者批准拟议的 NU7 升级多项变更相吻合。在约 360 万张可投票的硬币中,有近 240 万张 ZEC 参与了投票。该投票采用基于 ZEC 数量的加权参与方式,而非统计个人持有者数量。

约 99.9% 的参与投票的 ZEC 支持将目标出块时间从 75 秒缩短至 25 秒。这一改变有望缩短预期确认时间并提升支付速度。另有 98.9% 的投票支持保留 Zcash 现有的类似比特币的减半机制。投票结果并不意味着网络立即发生变化,开发人员仍需实施、测试并将批准的功能包含在最终升级中。持有者也支持尽快启动 NU7,99.3% 的人支持这一做法。

如果实施顺利,更快的出块速度可能会增强网络的实用性。Zcash 已经使用屏蔽交易功能,可以在保留网络验证的同时隐藏发送方、接收方和交易金额。这种隐私模型仍然是该项目市场叙事的核心。

分析师指出 $1,800 为首个目标

Zcash 价格在 9 月 18 日盘中触及约 $1,488 的日内高点,此前一日收盘于约 $1,337。此举紧随一年前接近 $50 的水平后的陡峭攀升。Ali Charts 表示 ZEC 继续走高,并将 $1,800 列为其关注的下一个目标。他的观点反映的是价格动能,而非保证性的预测。其他市场参与者也指出,如果需求持续,$1,500 至 $2,000 区域可能是潜在的延续区间。

机构兴趣增长,但技术风险依然高企

机构活动为 Zcash 价格的变动增添了另一个催化剂。Paradigm 联合创始人 Matt Huang 披露该加密货币投资公司持有 ZEC,但未透露持仓规模或购买价格。Paradigm 还投资了 Zcash 开放开发实验室,后者在 2026 年初筹集了超过 2,500 万美元。

这种参与赋予了这次反弹以机构成分,但这并不确立未来的需求。Zcash 仍面临与隐私型加密货币及交易所访问相关的监管不确定性。其可选的屏蔽设计允许私密转账,同时支持选择性披露工具,但不同司法管辖区的监管待遇各不相同。

Large traders also increased their exposure during the rally. One whale placed approximately $5.4 million in ZEC buy orders below the market while holding a multi-million-dollar long position. On-chain tracking data showed another large short position exceeding 37,000 ZEC and carrying huge unrealized losses. Garrett Jin (@GarrettBullish), as the largest online $ZEC short position, currently has a loss of more than US$26 million! He added more short positions in $ZEC 11 hours ago and currently holds 37,760 short positions in $ZEC (worth US$51.5 million) at a clearing price of $2,631.53.

Technical indicators show both strength and overheating risks

The current technical situation shows both strength and overheating risks. TradingView data showed that the 14th Relative Strength Index (RSI) was above 70. This threshold is overbought, although the RSI itself does not confirm a reversal.

Therefore, Zcash's price outlook depends on whether buying demand can absorb profit-taking after a rapid rise. Faster trading brought by NU7 may support practicality, while institutional participation may deepen market interest. However, both catalysts are linked to execution and broader risk appetite.

Exchange inflows and leveraged positions may amplify volatility during periods of sharp rallies. Continuing progress towards the $1,800 target set by Ali Charts will require continued demand after the steep rise in ZEC. Failure to maintain momentum may lead to consolidation as traders reduce leverage and quickly lock in profits.

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