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XRP Core summary
Trading volume and ETF demand: Daily trading volume has been significantly lower than the 30-day average, and XRP ETF capital inflows have slowed down.
Key dates for the month: CPI data on September 11 and the decisions of the FOMC meeting on September 16 may determine the next trend of XRP.
XRP is currently trading between US$1.40 and US$1.44, a sharp rebound from a low of around US$1.00 in August. However, prices remain constrained by a resistance range of $1.47 to $1.52, which has repeatedly curbed recent gains.
Grok's artificial intelligence model's predictions for XRP in September range from US$1.25 to US$1.55, indicating a lack of market consensus.
Technical Analysis
As of September 9, 2026, the trading price of XRP is approximately US$1.40 to US$1.44. Although tokens have climbed strongly from lows close to $1.00 in August, the pace of recovery has slowed in the near future.
The short-term moving average is below current prices, forming a support floor between $1.34 and $1.42. The 50th and 200th moving averages are around $1.20 and $1.27 respectively, indicating that the overall trend has turned upward over the past month.
The MACD indicator is almost exactly at zero. This flat reading suggests that XRP is at a turning point and the next trend may set for the rest of September. The RSI reading of 62 is a normal trending level rather than an overbought condition. Stochastic indicators showed short-term bullish crossings, providing some support for gains.
Resistance is between $1.47 and $1.52, and XRP has tried repeatedly to break through but failed. Support is between $1.27 and $1.34, an area that is correlated to XRP's 200-day moving average.
XRP price movement on CoinGecko
Although prices have risen nearly 4%, open interest in XRP derivatives contracts have dropped nearly 3% in the past 24 hours. This pattern usually points to short liquidations rather than new buyers entering.
The active buy/sell ratio is close to 1.0, which means that buying and selling pressures are roughly balanced. This suggests that the recent rally has not yet been backed by strong, organic buying.
Retail investors tend to be long, with about 69% holding positions. Large accounts (often referred to as "smart money") have a higher proportion of long positions, at about 72%.
Trading volume and ETF demand
Daily trading volume lags behind recent price performance. Trading volume on September 6 was about $1.46 billion, only about half of the 30-day average of $2.77 billion.
The XRP Spot ETF has attracted approximately US$1.68 billion in funds since its launch. Weekly net inflows have cooled from $110.5 million to approximately $19 million, and a net outflow of $7.2 million was recorded on September 4.
Key dates for the month
The August Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report will be released on September 11. Higher-than-expected data could raise market expectations for tighter Fed policies, which often puts pressure on cryptocurrency prices.
The Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting follows closely and is scheduled to be held on September 16. Markets have been pricing the possibility of interest rate changes at that meeting.
XRP also faces a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act, which is expected around September 15. The bill deals with the regulation of the U.S. cryptocurrency market.
Grok's artificial intelligence model produced a series of results for XRP in September. Estimates moved from $1.25 in early September to a range of $1.40 to $1.55 in the latest forecast.
As of writing, XRP was trading at $1.4360, remaining above short-term support around $1.34, but still below the $1.47 resistance level that defines its near-term trading range.
