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XRP may target US$2, ETFs bucked the trend of Bitcoin capital outflows and ushered in new opportunit

2026-09-12 21:29:02
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XRP stabilizes around $1.36, and funds flow deviates from spot market fluctuations.

After a week of severe shocks, XRP prices remain around $1.36. However, a more striking phenomenon than price fluctuations is the significant divergence in over-the-counter capital flows. Data showed that between September 8 and 10, US-listed XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) attracted US$18.98 million in inflows; at the same time, Bitcoin ETFs experienced a net outflow of approximately US$449.45 million during the same period, and Ethereum ETF also recorded an outflow of US$29.76 million on September 10. In this round of selling, XRP has become one of the few mainstream crypto asset classes that can still attract capital.

Analysis of Key Technical Resistance and Support Levels

This divergence in funding coincides with XRP approaching a key technical level that may determine whether the August recovery can continue. Currently, XRP is trading at about $1.36, up about 1% from the previous day, after dropping to a low of $1.32 on Friday.

$1.40: The first hurdle towards $2

FXStreet pointed out that US$1.36 near the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) is the current immediate support level for the XRP, while US$1.40 is the first resistance level that bulls need to recover. After breaking this level, the next technology hurdles is around $1.58. If we can effectively stand above US$1.58, it will strengthen the recovery trend. Looking at the broader chart, the next major resistance is set at $1.70 before a potential impact on the $2.00 target.

It's worth noting that the $2.00 goal is not an overnight move. XRP first needs to rebound by about 29% to re-touch the $1.75 area and clear the resistance that limited its August rally. On the contrary, downside risks cannot be ignored. Failure to hold the current US$1.36 area may expose lower levels of support such as US$1.27 near the 50th EMA and US$1.24 near the 100th EMA.

ETF continues to attract funds, and the signal of increasing whale address holdings shows that

The technical layout is supported by extremely long-lasting ETF demand. On September 8, 9 and 10, the XRP Fund absorbed US$1.55 million, US$12.29 million and US$5.14 million respectively. Before final capital flow data is released on Friday, XRP is expected to usher in positive net inflows for the ninth consecutive week. This trend continues the recent pattern of XRP ETF capital flows: when Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana products all experienced capital losses, XRP funds became the only major crypto asset ETF class to record positive inflows.

This divergence has lasted for several trading days. Previously, the XRP ETF performed best in the week ending August 28, attracting $110.49 million in funding, setting a record for a single week in 2026.

In addition to ETF trends, on-chain data also sends another cumulative signal. Although token prices fell below $1.40, addresses holding between 100,000 and 1 million XRPs (often considered "giant whales" or large wallets) have increased their share of their supply to approximately 9.4%. This has created an unusual market landscape: Although XRP prices remain about 20% below recent highs, institutional products and some large wallets continue to increase exposure.

Conclusion: Capital inflows need to be transformed into price momentum

For bullish views, capital inflows alone are not enough. XRP still needs to translate this demand into actual price intensity. Decisively breaking through $1.40 and then breaking the resistance levels of $1.58 and $1.70 will make the $2.00 target more credible. Prior to this, although the divergence of funds from institutions was a bullish signal, it had not yet formed a confirmed breakthrough pattern.

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