Wall Street analyst Rob Cunningham: Japan's XRP strategy may herald changes in the global monetary system
Wall Street analyst Rob Cunningham has put forward the view that Japan may play a key role in reshaping the global currency, collateral and settlement landscape. Cunningham's analysis focuses on Japan's ongoing XRP integration dynamics and explores whether the move moves beyond simple investment and points to deep infrastructure preparations for a major financial transformation.
Japan's XRP strategy and yen carry trade
Cunningham pointed out that Japan may have quietly deployed to cope with the huge changes in the international financial system. He wrote: "Did Japan simply invest in XRP, or did it quietly build the 'monetary cushion' needed to cope with the largest collateral, currency and settlement transformation in modern history?"
The analyst linked this argument to Japan's long-managed "yen carry trade" and discussed the possibility of the country's large-scale recovery of overseas assets. Cunningham believes that such actions may coincide with increased demand for U.S. Treasury bonds driven by the issuance of U.S. dollar stablecoins under the GENIUS Act.
In addition, Cunningham observed that Japan's financial infrastructure is now closely connected to Ripple through SBI Holdings. SBI Holdings is a large financial services company headquartered in Tokyo with businesses covering traditional banking and digital assets.
Noun explanation: Yen Carry Trade
This is a financial strategy in which investors borrow yen at low interest rates and invest in high-yielding foreign assets, significantly affecting global capital flows.
Cunningham emphasized that the core question is whether Japan's use of XRP represents years of structural preparation for a smoother transition to the monetary system, rather than pure investment behavior.
SBI Holdings 'in-depth cooperation with Ripple
Cunningham specifically mentioned SBI Holdings' in-depth participation in Ripple, including real-time payments, cross-border remittances, digital asset custody, corporate adoption of XRP in treasury operations, and development work on XRPL (XRP Ledger).
He pointed out that SBI holds a 9% stake in Ripple, which highlights the difference between holding only XRP tokens and maintaining a significant stake in Ripple's overall enterprise. Cunningham believes this shareholding gives Japanese institutions access to multiple aspects of Ripple's business, including payments, custody, stablecoins, prime broker services, treasury technology and intellectual property. He also mentioned that Ripple's latest financing valuation is approximately $40 billion.
"SBI's economic exposure also goes far beyond the market value of XRP itself," Cunningham emphasized that citing Ripple's enterprise-level comprehensive service suite serves as an extension of Japan's influence.
Noun explanation: SBI Holdings
SBI Holdings is a large Japanese financial group with diversified businesses covering banking, securities and digital assets. The company is a close partner of Ripple and has promoted the adoption of XRP in Asia.
Cunningham's Transformation Framework
Cunningham proposed a six-step process to describe how Japan could unblock the yen carry trade while strengthening the broader global settlement framework:
- Gold revaluation: Revalue gold to current market levels to absorb confidence risks in the system.
- 50-Year Treasury Trust Bonds: Used to manage duration risk.
- Ministry of Finance facilities and interest rate cuts: Reduce market risks.
- stablecoins: Absorb the issuance of short-term treasury bonds.
- XRP: Higher valuations are expected to reduce settlement frictions.
- Departmental Coordination: Achieve system-level alignment.
Cunningham believes this structure will allow Japan to simultaneously reposition its global dollar exposure and maximize its digital trading capabilities in the long term.
Taken together, Cunningham's views place SBI Holdings, Ripple, XRP, and XRPL in a broader global transformation involving Japan, U.S. Treasuries, stablecoins, and digital settlement infrastructure.

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