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BTC 比特币在76,500美元附近震荡，美股反弹
周四华尔街交易时段，比特币围绕76,500美元进行交易。随着近期市场出现下跌，投资者重新回归美国股市。此前，受美联储加息25个基点的影响，比特币价格曾跌破76,000美元关口，随后趋于稳定。
美联储加息与美国市场反应
周三，美联储将基准利率上调25个基点至3.75%至4%的区间。这是自2023年7月以来美联储首次加息，标志着长期宽松货币政策时代的结束。在此期间，美联储每次会议要么降息，要么维持利率不变。
利率决议公布后，美国股市显示出复苏迹象。纳斯达克综合指数收盘上涨1.5%，标普500指数上涨0.9%。分析师指出，股票市场的乐观情绪有所恢复，尽管加息导致流动性收紧，但部分人预计资产表现仍将保持强劲。
金融市场评论机构Kobeissi Letter强调了资产持有者当日获得的收益，称随着股市上涨，“拥有资产的经济状况正在持续改善”。此外，欧洲央行上周也将关键利率上调了0.25%，而日本银行预计将在周末前采取类似行动。
TradingView data shows that Bitcoin's volatility has eased in the past 24 hours, with only slight price changes, and liquidity accumulating near current levels. According to CoinGlass, a data platform that tracks the digital asset market, the liquidity of buy and sell orders is concentrated near the spot price, which is a typical feature of range trading. The trading chart reflects this period of low volatility, and despite macroeconomic fluctuations, the BTC/USD trading pair remains generally stable.
Analyst Outlook: Bitcoin cooling trend
On Tuesday, Bitcoin fell to this month's low and then experienced a moderate rebound. As of press time, Bitcoin's intraday price rose by approximately 0.5%, thanks to the improvement in overall sentiment on risky assets.
On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant pointed out that macroeconomic headwinds continue to prevent Bitcoin from regaining its previous upward trend (a 25% increase in August). Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, pointed out in the company's latest weekly analysis that Bitcoin's price indicators have changed.
Moreno explained that the Bull Score Index, a proprietary tool to measure bullish market conditions, has slipped from 80 to 60 points. This score represents the threshold at which CryptoQuant classifies as "bullish", which indicates that Bitcoin is in a cooling trend rather than a major reversal.
CryptoQuant said in a recent assessment that while "the trend remains bullish," momentum and macro conditions pose headwinds in the short term. Weaker U.S. demand, increased inflows of capital to replace cryptocurrencies, and a week full of macroeconomic risks-including delays in the CLARITY Act and the recent Federal Reserve rate hike-are cited as factors contributing to the current consolidation phase. CryptoQuant reminds attention to key support levels for Bitcoin: $70,000 and the $62,000 to $65,000 range.
CryptoQuant said: "Bitcoin is cooling down, not turning. A 60-point bull market score keeps the trend bullish, but fading U.S. demand, increasing altcoin flows and a week full of macro risks-delays in the CLARITY Act and expected Fed rate hikes-all point to consolidation. Please pay close attention to the $70,000 and $62,000 - 65,000 as support levels."
Against the backdrop of changing global financial conditions, traders are closely watching the bull market scoring index to assess the sustainability of current price levels.
Mini Dictionary
CryptoQuant: A blockchain analytics company that provides data-driven insights and proprietary indicators for the cryptocurrency market to help traders and institutions evaluate trends and market cycles more effectively.
